Knodel J, Kintner H
Demography. 1977 Nov;14(4):391-409.
A major assumption of the biometric analysis of infant mortality as developed by Bourgeois-Pichat is that the age structure of infant deaths after the first month of life is virtually constant across time and cultures. Reanalysis of results from studies which compare the mortality of infants according to the type of feeding indicated that the relationship between mortality and age within the first year of life followed different patterns for breast fed and artificially fed infants. Historical data for populations with different breast feeding customs reveal similar differences in the age pattern of infant mortality. In populations where breast feeding was uncommon or of very short duration, infant mortality rises particularly steeply during the early months of the first year of life. The age structure of infant mortality in less developed countries where breast feeding is decreasing rapidly may bsimilarly affected. When substantial deviations from the linear relationship are evident, particular caution is required in applying the biometric technique, since in such situations the estimated endogenous mortality is very much affected by the particular set of data points within the first year of life which are chosen for the basis of the estimates.
布尔乔亚 - 皮沙特所开展的婴儿死亡率生物统计学分析的一个主要假设是,出生后第一个月后的婴儿死亡年龄结构在不同时间和文化中几乎是恒定的。对根据喂养类型比较婴儿死亡率的研究结果进行重新分析表明,母乳喂养和人工喂养的婴儿在生命第一年中死亡率与年龄之间的关系遵循不同模式。具有不同母乳喂养习俗的人群的历史数据显示,婴儿死亡率的年龄模式也存在类似差异。在母乳喂养不常见或持续时间很短的人群中,婴儿死亡率在生命第一年的最初几个月中上升尤为陡峭。母乳喂养迅速减少的欠发达国家的婴儿死亡率年龄结构可能会受到类似影响。当明显偏离线性关系时,在应用生物统计学技术时需要格外谨慎,因为在这种情况下,估计的内源性死亡率会受到为估计而选择的生命第一年中特定数据点集的很大影响。