Moolgavkar S H, Luebeck E G, Anderson E L
Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA 98104, USA.
Epidemiology. 1997 Jul;8(4):364-70. doi: 10.1097/00001648-199707000-00003.
We investigated the association between air pollution and hospital admissions for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and pneumonia among the elderly in Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN, and Birmingham, AL, over the period January 1, 1986, to December 31, 1991. Pollutants included in our analyses were PM10 (particulate matter less than 10 microns in aerodynamic diameter), SO2, NO2, O3, and CO in Minneapolis-St. Paul, and PM10, O3, and CO in Birmingham. After adjusting for temperature, day of week, season, and temporal trends, we found little evidence of association between air pollution and hospital admissions for respiratory causes in Birmingham. In contrast, we found that air pollution was associated with hospital admissions for respiratory causes in Minneapolis-St. Paul. Among the individual pollutants, O3 was most strongly associated with admissions (estimated increase in hospital admissions associated with a 15-parts-per-billion increase in O3 on the previous day = 5.15%; 95% confidence interval = 2.36-7.94%), and this association was robust in the sense that it was little affected by the simultaneous consideration of other pollutants. PM10, SO2, and NO2 were also associated with hospital admissions, although none could be singled out as being more important than the others.
我们调查了1986年1月1日至1991年12月31日期间,明尼阿波利斯 - 圣保罗市(明尼苏达州)和伯明翰市(阿拉巴马州)老年人中空气污染与慢性阻塞性肺疾病及肺炎住院率之间的关联。我们分析中纳入的污染物在明尼阿波利斯 - 圣保罗市包括PM10(空气动力学直径小于10微米的颗粒物)、SO2、NO2、O3和CO,在伯明翰市包括PM10、O3和CO。在对温度、星期几、季节和时间趋势进行调整后,我们发现伯明翰市空气污染与呼吸道疾病住院率之间几乎没有关联证据。相比之下,我们发现在明尼阿波利斯 - 圣保罗市空气污染与呼吸道疾病住院率有关联。在个别污染物中,O3与住院率关联最为强烈(前一天O3每增加十亿分之15,估计住院率增加 = 5.15%;95%置信区间 = 2.36 - 7.94%),并且这种关联很稳健,即同时考虑其他污染物时几乎不受影响。PM10、SO2和NO2也与住院率有关联,尽管无法确定其中哪一种比其他的更重要。