Ji Meng, Cohan Daniel S, Bell Michelle L
School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, U.S.A.
Environ Res Lett. 2011 Apr;6(2). doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/6/2/024006.
Ozone is associated with health impacts including respiratory outcomes; however, results differ across studies. Meta-analysis is an increasingly important approach to synthesizing evidence across studies. We conducted meta-analysis of short-term ozone exposure and respiratory hospitalizations to evaluate variation across studies and explore some of the challenges in meta-analysis. We identified 136 estimates from 96 studies and investigated how estimates differed by age, ozone metric, season, lag, region, disease category, and hospitalization type. Overall results indicate associations between ozone and various types of respiratory hospitalizations; however, study characteristics affected risk estimates. Estimates were similar, but higher, for the elderly compared to all ages and for previous day exposure compared to same day exposure. Comparison across studies was hindered by variation in definitions of disease categories, as some (e.g., asthma) were identified through ≥3 different sets of ICD codes. Although not all analyses exhibited evidence of publication bias, adjustment for publication bias generally lowered overall estimates. Emergency hospitalizations for total respiratory disease increased 4.47% (95% interval 2.48, 6.50%) per 10ppb 24-hr ozone among the elderly without adjustment for publication bias and 2.97% (1.05, 4.94%) with adjustment. Comparison of multi-city study results and meta-analysis based on single-city studies further suggested publication bias.
臭氧与包括呼吸疾病在内的健康影响相关;然而,不同研究的结果存在差异。荟萃分析是整合各项研究证据的一种日益重要的方法。我们对短期臭氧暴露与呼吸疾病住院情况进行了荟萃分析,以评估不同研究之间的差异,并探讨荟萃分析中的一些挑战。我们从96项研究中确定了136个估计值,并研究了估计值如何因年龄、臭氧指标、季节、滞后时间、地区、疾病类别和住院类型而有所不同。总体结果表明臭氧与各类呼吸疾病住院之间存在关联;然而,研究特征会影响风险估计。与所有年龄段相比,老年人的估计值相似但更高,与当日暴露相比,前一日暴露的估计值更高。由于疾病类别的定义存在差异,妨碍了不同研究之间的比较,因为有些疾病(如哮喘)是通过≥3套不同的国际疾病分类代码确定的。尽管并非所有分析都显示出发表偏倚的证据,但对发表偏倚进行调整通常会降低总体估计值。在未对发表偏倚进行调整的情况下,老年人中每10ppb 24小时臭氧暴露导致的全呼吸疾病急诊住院率增加4.47%(95%区间2.48,6.50%),调整后为2.97%(1.05,4.94%)。多城市研究结果与基于单城市研究的荟萃分析的比较进一步表明存在发表偏倚。