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[统计学与医学决策]

[Statistics and medical decision making].

作者信息

Gouveia-Oliveira A

机构信息

Departamento de Biomatemática, Faculdade de Medicina de Lisboa.

出版信息

Acta Med Port. 1996 Oct-Dec;9(10-12):391-6.

PMID:9254540
Abstract

Statistics is the science that studies variability in all its forms and, in essence, is an instrument that allows us to analyze variable phenomena and detect small, but nevertheless important, differences. The instrumental character of this science made Statistics a fundamental tool for the study of biological and clinical phenomena, but the purpose of this discussion is to focus on the fact that Statistics, either directly or indirectly, is presently the basis of virtually all medical decision-making processes and, consequently, has had a major influence on clinical practice itself. Disease prevalence, the consideration of risk factors, for instance, which is information of great importance in the process of diagnosis, is obtained through studies that are based in statistical methodologies. It is, however, in the decision-intensive processes of selecting diagnostic examinations, choosing the best therapy and evaluating the prognostic implications, that Statistics have had a more direct impact on clinical practice. In modern Medicine, Statistics may no longer be seen as a set of techniques that are applied in scientific research. Rather, Statistics should be understood as the appropriate language for describing and discussing observed phenomena.

摘要

统计学是一门研究各种形式变异性的科学,本质上是一种工具,使我们能够分析可变现象并检测微小但却重要的差异。这门科学的工具性特征使统计学成为研究生物学和临床现象的基本工具,但本次讨论的目的是聚焦于这样一个事实:统计学目前直接或间接地几乎是所有医疗决策过程的基础,因此对临床实践本身产生了重大影响。例如,疾病患病率以及对风险因素的考量,这些在诊断过程中非常重要的信息,是通过基于统计方法的研究获得的。然而,在选择诊断检查、选择最佳治疗方法以及评估预后影响等决策密集型过程中,统计学对临床实践产生了更直接的影响。在现代医学中,统计学可能不再被视为一套应用于科学研究的技术。相反,统计学应被理解为描述和讨论观察到的现象的恰当语言。

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