Belle S H, Beringer K C, Detre K M
Department of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Clin Transpl. 1996:15-29.
The growth in liver transplantation activity recorded by the Pitt-UNOS Liver Transplant Registry since October 1987 continued. However, for the first time since the establishment of the LTR, there was no net gain in the number of centers in 1995. The large differences in volume per center also diminished.
The age of pediatric recipients increased significantly in 1995, due to a decrease in the proportion of recipients under age one. For the first time, in 1995 fewer than half of transplantations in children were for biliary atresia. The addition of bone marrow transplantations, for which collection began in 1994, accounted for half of the multi-organ transplantations in 1995. Many of the characteristics examined for adult recipients changed between 1994 and 1995. The proportion of Hispanic recipients increased. The mean age of adult recipients continued to increase, but there was not a significant change in the prevalence of positive CMV serology. Reversing a trend, the proportion of adult recipients awaiting transplantation outside of the hospital decreased between 1994 and 1995. As with children, the proportion of adult multi-organ transplantations which included bone marrow increased. Hepatitis non-A, non-B, or C and alcoholic liver disease (ALD) were the most common reasons for LTX in 1995. While the proportion of recipients with ALD alone decreased slightly, the proportion with ALD and hepatitis C increased from 1994 to 1995.
The cumulative probability of surviving (without retransplantation) for 8 years after initial transplantation was .71 (.60) for pediatric recipients. The one-year survival for pediatric recipients changed significantly over time with the increase from 1994 to 1995 being similar to the increase between 1994 and prior years. Independent risk factors for survival among children included age, race, location awaiting transplantation, primary liver disease, and serum creatinine. Year of transplantation and bilirubin were independently associated with retransplantation-free survival, whereas multi-organ transplantation was associated with poorer patient survival. The cumulative probability of adults surviving (without retransplantation) for 7 years following LTX was .58 (.50). Independent risk factors were year of transplantation, age, location awaiting transplantation, primary liver disease, albumin, creatinine, and ABO match. Black recipients had poorer patient survival rates than other recipients whereas increased prothrombin time and CMV-positive donors were risk factors for retransplantation or death.
自1987年10月以来,匹兹堡大学器官共享联合网络肝脏移植登记处记录的肝脏移植活动持续增长。然而,自肝脏移植登记处成立以来,1995年中心数量首次没有净增长。各中心移植量的巨大差异也有所缩小。
1995年,儿童受者的年龄显著增加,原因是1岁以下受者的比例下降。1995年,儿童移植中因胆道闭锁进行的移植首次不到一半。1994年开始采集骨髓的骨髓移植增加,占1995年多器官移植的一半。1994年至1995年期间,对成年受者检查的许多特征发生了变化。西班牙裔受者的比例增加。成年受者的平均年龄继续上升,但巨细胞病毒血清学阳性率没有显著变化。与趋势相反,1994年至1995年期间,在医院外等待移植的成年受者比例下降。与儿童一样,包含骨髓移植的成年多器官移植比例增加。非甲、非乙、非丙型肝炎和酒精性肝病(ALD)是1995年肝移植的最常见原因。虽然仅患有ALD的受者比例略有下降,但1994年至1995年期间,患有ALD和丙型肝炎的受者比例增加。
儿童受者初次移植后8年(无再次移植)的累积存活概率为0.71(0.60)。儿童受者的1年生存率随时间显著变化,1994年至1995年的增加与1994年及之前年份的增加相似。儿童存活的独立危险因素包括年龄、种族、等待移植的地点、原发性肝病和血清肌酐。移植年份和胆红素与无再次移植存活独立相关,而多器官移植与患者较差的存活相关。肝移植后成年患者7年(无再次移植)的累积存活概率为$0.58(0.50)$。独立危险因素为移植年份、年龄、等待移植的地点、原发性肝病、白蛋白、肌酐和ABO血型匹配。黑人受者的患者存活率低于其他受者,而凝血酶原时间延长和巨细胞病毒阳性供体是再次移植或死亡的危险因素。