Power C, Lake J K, Cole T J
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Child Health, London, United Kingdom.
Am J Clin Nutr. 1997 Nov;66(5):1094-101. doi: 10.1093/ajcn/66.5.1094.
The purpose of this study was to assess relations among height, weight, and body mass index (BMI) at different ages from childhood to adulthood, and to examine long-term relations among timing of puberty, height, and BMI. Longitudinal data from the 1958 British birth cohort (all children born between March 3rd and 9th, 1958) were used. Height and weight were measured at ages 7, 11, 16, 23 (self-reported), and 33 y; pubertal status was assessed at ages 11 and 16 y. Data for 5700 females and 5512 males were analyzed. Adult height was well predicted from childhood, with strong correlations (r = 0.7 for both sexes) between height at ages 7 and 33 y. Correlations for BMI were weaker, especially between childhood and early adulthood (r = 0.33 for males and 0.37 for females, ages 7 and 33 y), although they increased with increasing age. Although the fattest children had the highest risks of adult obesity, most obese adults had not been fat at earlier ages: only 17% and 18% of obese 33-y-old men and women, respectively, had been fat at age 7 y. A strong and evenly graded association was found between timing of puberty and BMI, with higher mean BMIs for the earlier maturers at ages 7-33 y. The moderate prediction of adult BMI in this large and unselected sample suggests that although the prevention of childhood fatness may be desirable, most obese adults could not be identified from their childhood BMI, and hence, preventive strategies need to be population-based.
本研究旨在评估从儿童期到成年期不同年龄段的身高、体重和体重指数(BMI)之间的关系,并研究青春期时间、身高和BMI之间的长期关系。使用了来自1958年英国出生队列(1958年3月3日至9日出生的所有儿童)的纵向数据。在7岁、11岁、16岁、23岁(自我报告)和33岁时测量身高和体重;在11岁和16岁时评估青春期状态。对5700名女性和5512名男性的数据进行了分析。从儿童期就能很好地预测成年身高,7岁和33岁时的身高之间存在很强的相关性(两性的r = 0.7)。BMI的相关性较弱,尤其是在儿童期和成年早期之间(7岁和33岁时,男性的r = 0.33,女性的r = 0.37),不过随着年龄的增长相关性会增加。虽然最胖的儿童成年后肥胖风险最高,但大多数肥胖成年人在较早年龄时并不胖:33岁的肥胖男性和女性中,分别只有17%和18%在7岁时就已肥胖。青春期时间和BMI之间存在强烈且均匀分级的关联,在7至33岁时,早熟者的平均BMI更高。在这个大型非选择性样本中对成年BMI的适度预测表明,虽然预防儿童肥胖可能是可取的,但大多数肥胖成年人无法从其儿童期BMI中识别出来,因此,预防策略需要以人群为基础。