Veiga-Cabo J, Almazán-Isla J, Sendra-Gutiérrez J M, de Pedro-Cuesta J
Department of Applied Epidemiology, National Center of Epidemiology, Carlos III Institute of Health, Madrid, Spain.
Int J Epidemiol. 1997 Oct;26(5):1024-32. doi: 10.1093/ije/26.5.1024.
The objective of this study was to describe the temporal and spatial patterns of motor neuron disease (MND) in Spain.
We studied data where MND was stated as the principal cause of death in official statistics from Spain. Time trends were analysed for age-, sex-specific and age-adjusted rates for the period 1951-1990. Age-adjusted mortality and relative risk, obtained by Poisson regression adjusting for age, were calculated for each province from deaths during the period 1975-1988. Maps were constructed using log transformed rates. Statistical significance of spatial aggregation was assessed using the Ohno et al. test.
The 1951-1990 mortality rate, age- and sex-adjusted to the European population, for the population aged > or = 40 years was 1.49 per 100,000; 1.90 and 1.21 for males and females respectively. In general, mortality increased with age. Age-adjusted rates rose until 1960, dropped by 70% during the 1960s and declined slightly over the 1951-1990 period as a whole. From 1970 onwards MND mortality rose evenly, particularly in the 60-69 age group. A North-South gradient was suggested for both sexes with statistically significant clustering in the Northern coastal regions and--for males alone--in the Midwest provinces.
Mortality from MND in Spain displayed a magnitude and recently rising temporal trend similar to that described in several other countries. Specific traits were: a decrease during the 1960s, which has been described for Japan only, as well as spatial heterogeneity and a predominant recent increase among the 60-69 age group. The determinants of these unusual MND mortality patterns are unknown.
本研究的目的是描述西班牙运动神经元病(MND)的时间和空间分布模式。
我们研究了西班牙官方统计数据中MND被列为主要死因的数据。分析了1951 - 1990年期间按年龄、性别分类以及年龄调整后的发病率的时间趋势。通过对1975 - 1988年期间各省份死亡数据进行泊松回归分析年龄调整后的死亡率和相对风险,并对年龄进行校正。使用对数转换率绘制地图。使用Ohno等人的检验评估空间聚集的统计学意义。
1951 - 1990年期间,年龄≥40岁人群经年龄和性别调整至欧洲人口标准后的死亡率为每10万人1.49例;男性为1.90例,女性为1.21例。总体而言,死亡率随年龄增长而增加。年龄调整后的发病率在1960年之前上升,在20世纪60年代下降了70%,在1951 - 1990年整个期间略有下降。从1970年起,MND死亡率均匀上升,特别是在60 - 69岁年龄组。男女均呈现出南北梯度差异,北部沿海地区存在统计学上显著的聚集现象,且仅男性在中西部省份有聚集。
西班牙MND的死亡率呈现出与其他几个国家相似的规模和近期上升的时间趋势。具体特征包括:20世纪60年代的下降,这仅在日本有过描述,以及空间异质性和近期60 - 69岁年龄组中死亡率的主要增加。这些不寻常的MND死亡率模式的决定因素尚不清楚。