Am J Clin Pathol. 1976 Jun;65(6):909-20. doi: 10.1093/ajcp/65.6.909.
By means of a set of questionnaires, the Joint ASCP/CAP Task Force on Manpower survey of fact and opinion regarding manpower problems and needs of pathology in the United States was completed. The response from pathologists approached 75%. From this survey, there appears to emerge an accurate picture of the number of pathologists in solo or group practice in the United States in terms of board certification and age group; so that over a five-year period, there will be a net addition of approximately 1,800 pathologists from 500--700 residents completing their training annually. This survey showed a demand of 22% of pathology practices seeking to fill funded positions with a projected need within the next five years of approximately 2,700 to meet primarily expanded patient loads. The number of pathologists in the graduate medical education "pipeline" revealed 2,153 residents with about 76% of the residency positions filled. A match of approximately 2,153 residents entering pathology practice against 2,160 vacancies anticipated in the next four years was identified. However, it is likely that there will continue to be a modest deficit of pathologists five years from now in view of the possibility that not all will enter practice. In conclusion, the demand for pathologists and supply from residency programs seem to match well in numbers so that supply and demand for pathology manpower are in approximate balance.
美国临床病理学会(ASCP)/美国病理学家学会(CAP)人力问题联合特别工作组通过一套问卷,完成了对美国病理学人力问题及需求的事实与看法调查。病理学家的回复率接近75%。通过这项调查,似乎可以准确了解美国单独执业或团体执业的病理学家数量,涵盖委员会认证情况和年龄组;因此,在五年时间里,每年有500 - 700名住院医师完成培训,病理学家净增约1800名。这项调查显示,22%的病理科业务需要填补有资金支持的职位,预计未来五年约需2700个职位,主要是为了应对不断增加的患者数量。毕业后医学教育“渠道”中的病理学家数量显示,有2153名住院医师,约76%的住院医师职位已填补。确定了约2153名进入病理科执业的住院医师与未来四年预计的2160个空缺职位相匹配。然而,鉴于并非所有人都会进入执业领域,从现在起五年后可能仍会有适度的病理学家短缺。总之,病理学家的需求与住院医师培训项目的供应在数量上似乎匹配良好,因此病理学人力的供需大致平衡。