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意大利橡胶和塑料制品制造商队列死亡率研究。

Cohort mortality study of rubber and plastics product makers in Italy.

作者信息

Ietri E, Belli S, Comba P, Gerosa A, Raffi G B, Pirastu R M

机构信息

Emilia Romagna Region Fellowship, Rome, Italy.

出版信息

Occup Med (Lond). 1997 Sep;47(7):417-22. doi: 10.1093/occmed/47.7.417.

Abstract

A retrospective cohort mortality study was carried out in 20 industrial factories in the Local Health Unit Bologna Sud (Emilia Romagna, Italy), where different rubber and plastics products were manufactured. The cohort consisted of 925 subjects (578 males and 347 females) employed for at least six months continuously; follow-up was between the beginning of operation of each factory, ranging between mid fifties and mid seventies, and 31 December 1989. For those exposed more than one year cause specific Standardized Mortality Ratios (SMRs) were computed using regional rates for comparison, 90% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated assuming the Poisson distribution. Among the 748 subjects employed for more than one year (457 males and 291 females) there were no lost to follow-up, 54 individuals were dead (41 males and 13 females) and for three subjects the cause of death was unknown. The results showed that all causes mortality was above expectancy in the total cohort (SMR = 123; 54 Obs; 90% CI = 97-154), among males (SMR = 117; 41 Obs; 90% CI = 89-152) and females (SMR = 143; 13 Obs; 90% CI = 85-228). Increased mortality for all malignant tumours was observed in the total cohort (SMR = 150; 25 Obs; 90% CI = 104-209) and for both genders. All nine lung cancer cases were observed among males, the SMR was equal to 218 and was statistically significant; seven cases occurred at duration of exposure less than 10 years and six at latency up to 20 years. The interpretation in terms of causality of the present investigation is limited by the small number of observations and by exposure definition solely in terms of employment in the study factories; nonetheless the results are indicating the existence, in this group of rubber and plastics product makers, of an adverse health effect which deserve further investigation.

摘要

在意大利艾米利亚 - 罗马涅大区博洛尼亚 - 苏德地方卫生单位的20家工厂开展了一项回顾性队列死亡率研究,这些工厂生产各类橡胶和塑料制品。该队列由925名受试者组成(578名男性和347名女性),他们均连续受雇至少6个月;随访时间从各工厂运营开始(时间在五十年代中期至七十年代中期之间)至1989年12月31日。对于暴露超过一年的人群,使用地区发病率计算特定病因标准化死亡比(SMR)进行比较,并假定服从泊松分布计算90%置信区间(CI)。在748名受雇超过一年的受试者中(457名男性和291名女性),无失访情况,54人死亡(41名男性和13名女性),3名受试者死因不明。结果显示,全因死亡率在整个队列中高于预期(SMR = 123;观察到54例;90% CI = 97 - 154),男性(SMR = 117;观察到41例;90% CI = 89 - 152)和女性(SMR = 143;观察到13例;90% CI = 85 - 228)均如此。整个队列中观察到所有恶性肿瘤的死亡率均升高(SMR = 150;观察到25例;90% CI = 104 - 209),且男女皆是。所有9例肺癌病例均在男性中观察到,SMR等于218且具有统计学意义;7例发生在暴露时长小于10年时,6例发生在潜伏期长达20年时。本研究因观察数量少以及仅依据在研究工厂就业来定义暴露,故在因果关系解释方面存在局限性;尽管如此,结果表明在这组橡胶和塑料制品制造商中存在不良健康影响,值得进一步研究。

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