Hulka F, Campbell J R, Harrison M W, Campbell T J
Department of Surgery, School of Medicine, Oregon Health Sciences University and Emanuel Hospital and Health Center, Portland 97201, USA.
J Pediatr Surg. 1997 Nov;32(11):1604-8. doi: 10.1016/s0022-3468(97)90463-2.
The purpose of this study was to determine which imaging study, upper gastrointestinal series (UGI) or abdominal ultrasonography (US), is more cost-effective in diagnosing infantile hypertrophic pyloric stenosis (IHPS) using a decision analysis model.
Probabilities were calculated from a review of the records of all infants less than 6 months of age referred for UGI or US to rule out IHPS over a 3-year period from January 1992 to December 1995. Cost-effectiveness was determined from hospital charges for each imaging study and its possible outcomes.
The positive predictive value of UGI was 1.0 and US was 0.98 in the 246 infants evaluated for possible IHPS. In patients who had an initially normal study finding (UGI or US), 25% of patients undergoing US first required a second study for persistent symptoms, whereas only 6% of patients who had a negative initial UGI finding required a second study.
Cost analysis found UGI to be more cost-effective than US because fewer secondary studies were required. UGI provides information regarding other pathological conditions as compared with US.
本研究的目的是使用决策分析模型确定哪种影像学检查,即上消化道造影(UGI)或腹部超声检查(US),在诊断婴儿肥厚性幽门狭窄(IHPS)方面更具成本效益。
概率是通过回顾1992年1月至1995年12月这3年期间因排除IHPS而接受UGI或US检查的所有6个月以下婴儿的记录计算得出的。成本效益是根据每项影像学检查的医院收费及其可能的结果确定的。
在对246例可能患有IHPS的婴儿进行评估时,UGI的阳性预测值为1.0,US为0.98。在最初检查结果正常(UGI或US)的患者中,25%首次接受US检查的患者因症状持续需要进行第二次检查,而最初UGI检查结果为阴性的患者中只有6%需要进行第二次检查。
成本分析发现UGI比US更具成本效益,因为所需的二次检查较少。与US相比,UGI能提供有关其他病理状况的信息。