Menotti A, Blackburn H, Seccareccia F, Kromhout D, Nissinen A, Karyonen M, Fidanza F, Giampaoli S, Buzina R, Mohacek I, Nedeljkovic S, Aravanis C, Dontas A
Division of Epidemiology, University of Minnesota, School of Public Health, Minneapolis, USA.
Cardiology. 1998;89(1):59-67. doi: 10.1159/000006744.
This analysis explores whether 'typical' clinical manifestations of coronary heart disease (CHD) such as myocardial infarction and sudden death, relate to major cardiovascular risk factors in the same way as the 'atypical' manifestations, e.g. heart failure and chronic arrhythmias.
Sixteen cohorts of men aged 40-59 in seven countries were examined, risk factors measured (age, systolic blood pressure, serum cholesterol and smoking habits) and 25-year mortality data collected in a systematic way. Cohorts were located in the US (n = 1), Finland (n = 2), the Netherlands (n = 1), Italy (n = 3), former Yugoslavia (n = 5), Greece (n = 2) and Japan (n = 2), with a total of 12,763 individuals. Ecological analysis based on regression equations and correlation among cohorts, and individual analyses based on proportional hazard models in pools of cohorts were conducted with typical and atypical CHD deaths as dependent variables.
The ecological analysis suggests a significant relationship of populational mean levels of serum cholesterol and of systolic blood pressure to age-adjusted death rates from typical CHD manifestations. The relationships for atypical CHD deaths were not statistically significant. In the ecological approach with multivariate analysis, none of the risk factors showed relevant associations with event rates, except serum cholesterol and typical CHD deaths. The ecological relationship of serum cholesterol to atypical CHD death rates was negative but not significant. On average, mean age at death was statistically higher among atypical CHD than typical CHD patients (70.2 vs. 65.8 years). In the individual multivariate analysis conducted on pools of countries, the relationship of risk factors with typical CHD deaths was direct and significant for age, systolic blood pressure, and smoking habits in Northern Europe and America and Southern Europe, but only for systolic blood pressure and smoking habits in Japan, whereas for atypical CHD, the predictive factors were age, systolic blood pressure and cigarette smoking in Northern Europe and America and Southern Europe, but only age in Japan.
The usual relationship of blood pressure and smoking habits and the differential relationship of serum cholesterol with atypical CHD (negative or absent) versus typical CHD (direct and significant) could be explained by 'two different diseases' or by a mix of poorly classified conditions among the atypical cases.
本分析探讨冠心病(CHD)的“典型”临床表现,如心肌梗死和猝死,与主要心血管危险因素之间的关系,是否与“非典型”表现(如心力衰竭和慢性心律失常)与这些危险因素之间的关系相同。
对七个国家中16组年龄在40至59岁之间的男性队列进行了检查,测量了危险因素(年龄、收缩压、血清胆固醇和吸烟习惯),并系统收集了25年的死亡率数据。这些队列分布在美国(n = 1)、芬兰(n = 2)、荷兰(n = 1)、意大利(n = 3)、前南斯拉夫(n = 5)、希腊(n = 2)和日本(n = 2),共有12763人。以回归方程和队列间相关性为基础进行了生态分析,以典型和非典型冠心病死亡为因变量,在队列组中基于比例风险模型进行了个体分析。
生态分析表明,血清胆固醇和收缩压的人群平均水平与典型冠心病表现的年龄调整死亡率之间存在显著关系。非典型冠心病死亡的相关关系无统计学意义。在多变量分析的生态方法中,除血清胆固醇与典型冠心病死亡外,没有一个危险因素与事件发生率显示出相关关联。血清胆固醇与非典型冠心病死亡率的生态关系为负,但无统计学意义。平均而言,非典型冠心病患者的平均死亡年龄在统计学上高于典型冠心病患者(70.2岁对65.8岁)。在对国家组进行的个体多变量分析中,在北欧、美国和南欧,危险因素与典型冠心病死亡的关系对于年龄、收缩压和吸烟习惯是直接且显著的,但在日本仅对于收缩压和吸烟习惯是显著的;而对于非典型冠心病,在北欧、美国和南欧预测因素是年龄、收缩压和吸烟,但在日本仅为年龄。
血压和吸烟习惯的通常关系,以及血清胆固醇与非典型冠心病(阴性或无关联)和典型冠心病(直接且显著)之间的差异关系,可能由“两种不同疾病”或非典型病例中分类不佳情况的混合来解释。