Levy A R, Bensimon D R, Mayo N E, Leighton H G
Department of Medicine, Royal Victoria Hospital, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Epidemiology. 1998 Mar;9(2):172-7.
An association between inclement weather and hip fractures has been documented, but specific subgroups of the population at particular risk have not been identified. We obtained information that included hospitalization data on all hip fractures in Montreal from 1982 to 1992, and meteorologic data on the amount of snow, rain, and freezing rain and the temperature on each day of study. We used a cross-level design to examine the association between the rate of hip fractures and the meteorologic conditions on the day of the accident in both sexes and five age strata. There were a total of 18,455 hip fractures over the 4,018-day study period. We found a cyclical pattern in occurrence of hip fractures, with the peak occurring in mid-December among women and the first week of January among men. The pattern was less pronounced among women than men, with peak-to-trough ratios of 1.2 and 1.4, respectively. Days with lower temperatures, snow, and freezing rain were associated with increased rates of hip fracture. The meteorologic condition carrying the greatest risk was freezing rain. The association between inclement weather and hip fractures was stronger among younger persons, both women and men. After adjusting for meteorologic variables, there remained increases in winter of 5% among women and 12% among men. The residual effect of winter may be related to cold temperatures or due to an accumulation of ice and snow even on fine days. Other possible mechanisms to explain the residual effect of winter include slower reaction times and winter bone loss, both of which could affect indoor as well as outdoor falls.
恶劣天气与髋部骨折之间的关联已有文献记载,但尚未确定特定的高危人群亚组。我们获取了包括1982年至1992年蒙特利尔所有髋部骨折住院数据,以及研究期间每天的降雪量、降雨量、冻雨情况和气温等气象数据。我们采用跨层次设计,研究事故当天髋部骨折发生率与气象条件在男女及五个年龄层中的关联。在为期4018天的研究期间,共有18455例髋部骨折。我们发现髋部骨折的发生呈周期性模式,女性的高峰出现在12月中旬,男性的高峰出现在1月的第一周。女性的这种模式不如男性明显,峰谷比分别为1.2和1.4。气温较低、下雪和冻雨的日子与髋部骨折发生率增加有关。风险最大的气象条件是冻雨。恶劣天气与髋部骨折之间的关联在年轻人(包括女性和男性)中更强。在对气象变量进行调整后,女性在冬季的髋部骨折发生率仍增加5%,男性增加12%。冬季的残余影响可能与低温有关,也可能是由于即使在晴天冰雪的堆积。解释冬季残余影响的其他可能机制包括反应时间变慢和冬季骨质流失,这两者都可能影响室内和室外跌倒。