Moon T E
Biometrics. 1976 Jun;32(2):355-68.
A model of the dynamics of a mosquito Culex tarsalis is derived that includes the life states through which the mosquito proceeds. Transition probabilities from one state (egg, larva, pupa and adult) to another are derived and they depend on the duration of stay and mortality in each state. A formula is derived for the expected number of mosquitoes alive at any time during the spring or summer. This formula depends on the number of eggs oviposited and the transition probabilities. Data are used to estimate the parameters and to illustrate the usefulness of this model in examining the effect of changes in mosquito survival on the dynamics of the population.
我们推导了一个致倦库蚊动态模型，该模型涵盖了蚊子所经历的生命阶段。推导了从一个状态（卵、幼虫、蛹和成虫）到另一个状态的转移概率，这些概率取决于每个状态下的停留时间和死亡率。推导出了一个公式，用于计算春季或夏季任何时刻存活蚊子的预期数量。该公式取决于产卵数量和转移概率。我们使用数据来估计参数，并说明该模型在研究蚊子存活率变化对种群动态影响方面的实用性。
