Ledford A W, Cole T J
University of Surrey, UK.
Ann Hum Biol. 1998 Mar-Apr;25(2):101-15. doi: 10.1080/03014469800005482.
Growth models for predicting child stature are useful to summarize both the pattern and timing of growth in individuals and populations. Jolicoeur el al. described the JPPS model and compared it with the models of Preece and Baines (PB1) and Shohoji and Sasaki (SS). More recently Jolicoeur et al. described the JPA2 model, an extension of the JPPS. Here the JPPS model is studied in greater depth, and with more subjects, compared to the PB1 model and a modification of the SS model (SSC). The JPPS model gives consistently the best fit, although the SSC model is also better appreciably than the PB1. It is shown that biological parameters can be derived from the model parameters. Both infancy and adult data are required for the JPPS model to fit well. In some subjects the JPPS velocity curve suggests a mid-growth spurt, but it does not usually indicate a spurt in the underlying data. The SSC model is shown to be similar to Karlberg's ICP model. Overall the JPPS model provides a good fit to the child stature curve.
用于预测儿童身高的生长模型有助于总结个体和人群生长的模式及时间。若利厄等人描述了JPPS模型,并将其与普里斯和贝恩斯(PB1)以及庄司和佐佐木(SS)的模型进行了比较。最近,若利厄等人描述了JPA2模型,它是JPPS模型的扩展。在此,与PB1模型以及SS模型的一种修正形式(SSC)相比,对JPPS模型进行了更深入的研究,且研究对象更多。JPPS模型始终给出最佳拟合,尽管SSC模型也明显比PB1模型要好。研究表明,可以从模型参数推导出生物学参数。JPPS模型要实现良好拟合需要婴儿期和成年期的数据。在一些受试者中,JPPS速度曲线显示有生长中期突增,但它通常并未表明基础数据中有突增情况。结果表明SSC模型与卡尔伯格的ICP模型相似。总体而言,JPPS模型能很好地拟合儿童身高曲线。