Donovan G A, Dohoo I R, Montgomery D M, Bennett F L
Department of Large Animal Clinical Sciences, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Florida, Gainesville 32610-0136, USA.
Prev Vet Med. 1998 Feb 6;34(1):31-46. doi: 10.1016/s0167-5877(97)00060-3.
A prospective cohort study was undertaken to determine calf-level factors that affected calf health status between birth and 6 months of age. A convenience sample of approximately 3300 female Holstein calves born in 1991 on two large Florida dairy farms was used for the study. Data collected on each calf at birth included farm of origin, weight, height at the pelvis, birth date, and serum total protein (a measure of colostral immunoglobulin absorption). Birth season was dichotomized into summer and winter using meteorological data collected by University of Florida Agricultural Research Stations. Health data including date of initial treatment and number of treatments were collected for the diseases diarrhea, omphalitis, septicemia and pneumonia. All calves were followed for 6 months. Cumulative incidences of mortality and occurrence of diarrhea, omphalitis, septicemia and pneumonia were 0.12, 0.35, 0.11, 0.24 and 0.21, respectively. Serum total protein (TP) was a significant risk factor for mortality. The association of TP and mortality was quadratic and showed a dramatic decrease in mortality as TP increased from 4.0 to 5.0 g/dl, a small improvement from 5.0 to 6.0 g/dl and virtually no improvement in mortality rates as TP increased over 6.0 g/dl. The hazard mortality ratio was constant from birth to six months, indicating that the increased risk of mortality associated with low levels of TP was evident through six months of age. No interactions between TP, farm, season, or birth weight were found in these analyses. Serum total protein concentration was a significant risk factor for the occurrences, age of onset and severity of septicemia and pneumonia. The association between TP and septicemia was linear and an interaction with birth season was found. The association between TP and pneumonia was quadratic, and in contrast to the TP-and-septicemia relationship, the morbidity hazard ratio for pneumonia was not constant over the time measured; that is, colostral immunity protected the calf from developing pneumonia early in life, but this effect disappeared as the calf got older. Total protein was not a significant risk factor for diarrhea or omphalitis.
进行了一项前瞻性队列研究,以确定在出生至6月龄期间影响犊牛健康状况的犊牛水平因素。该研究使用了1991年出生在佛罗里达州两个大型奶牛场的约3300头雌性荷斯坦犊牛的便利样本。每头犊牛出生时收集的数据包括出生农场、体重、骨盆高度、出生日期和血清总蛋白(初乳免疫球蛋白吸收的一项指标)。利用佛罗里达大学农业研究站收集的气象数据,将出生季节分为夏季和冬季。收集了腹泻、脐炎、败血症和肺炎等疾病的健康数据,包括首次治疗日期和治疗次数。所有犊牛均随访6个月。死亡率以及腹泻、脐炎、败血症和肺炎的累积发病率分别为0.12、0.35、0.11、0.24和0.21。血清总蛋白(TP)是死亡率的一个显著风险因素。TP与死亡率的关联呈二次曲线,随着TP从4.0 g/dl增加到5.0 g/dl,死亡率显著下降,从5.0 g/dl增加到6.0 g/dl时有小幅改善,而当TP超过6.0 g/dl时死亡率几乎没有改善。从出生到6个月,危险死亡率比值恒定,表明低水平TP相关的死亡率增加风险在6月龄时都很明显。在这些分析中未发现TP、农场、季节或出生体重之间的相互作用。血清总蛋白浓度是败血症和肺炎的发生、发病年龄和严重程度的一个显著风险因素。TP与败血症之间的关联呈线性,且发现与出生季节存在相互作用。TP与肺炎之间的关联呈二次曲线,与TP和败血症的关系不同,肺炎的发病危险比值在测量期间并非恒定;也就是说,初乳免疫保护犊牛在生命早期不患肺炎,但随着犊牛年龄增长这种作用消失。总蛋白不是腹泻或脐炎的显著风险因素。