Segal I E, Nicoll J F
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Room 2-244, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1998 Apr 28;95(9):4804-7. doi: 10.1073/pnas.95.9.4804.
Objective and reproducible determinations of the probabilistic significance levels of the deviations between theoretical cosmological prediction and direct model-independent observation are made for the Large Bright Quasar Sample [Foltz, C., Chaffee, F. H., Hewett, P. C., MacAlpine, G. M., Turnshek, D. A., et al. (1987) Astron. J. 94, 1423-1460]. The Expanding Universe model as represented by the Friedman-Lemaitre cosmology with parameters qo = 0, Lambda = 0 denoted as C1 and chronometric cosmology (no relevant adjustable parameters) denoted as C2 are the cosmologies considered. The mean and the dispersion of the apparent magnitudes and the slope of the apparent magnitude-redshift relation are the directly observed statistics predicted. The C1 predictions of these cosmology-independent quantities are deviant by as much as 11sigma from direct observation; none of the C2 predictions deviate by >2sigma. The C1 deviations may be reconciled with theory by the hypothesis of quasar "evolution," which, however, appears incapable of being substantiated through direct observation. The excellent quantitative agreement of the C1 deviations with those predicted by C2 without adjustable parameters for the results of analysis predicated on C1 indicates that the evolution hypothesis may well be a theoretical artifact.
针对大亮类星体样本[福尔茨,C.,查菲,F. H.,休伊特,P. C.,麦卡尔平,G. M.,特恩舍克,D. A.等人(1987年)《天文学杂志》94卷,1423 - 1460页],对理论宇宙学预测与直接的、与模型无关的观测之间偏差的概率显著性水平进行了客观且可重复的测定。所考虑的宇宙学模型包括:由弗里德曼 - 勒梅特宇宙学表示的具有参数qo = 0、Λ = 0的膨胀宇宙模型(记为C1)以及计时宇宙学(无相关可调参数,记为C2)。视星等的均值和弥散以及视星等 - 红移关系的斜率是预测的直接观测统计量。这些与宇宙学无关的量的C1预测与直接观测的偏差高达11倍标准差;C2的预测偏差均未超过2倍标准差。C1的偏差可以通过类星体“演化”的假设与理论相协调,然而,这一假设似乎无法通过直接观测得到证实。对于基于C1的分析结果,C1的偏差与C2在无可调参数情况下预测的偏差具有出色的定量一致性,这表明演化假设很可能是一种理论假象。