Wu Z, Wang H
Department of Sociology, University of Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.
Soc Biol. 1998 Spring-Summer;45(1-2):96-112. doi: 10.1080/19485565.1998.9988966.
Using data from the 1995 Canadian General Society Survey (GSS-95), we study the intention to have a third child among a sample of women and men who have already had two children (N = 505). Our results show that 15 per cent of the respondents intend to have a third child. Nearly 20 per cent of the respondents are uncertain about their fertility intentions. We found that the same factors that predict intentions also predict uncertainty, and that the effects of these predictors are remarkably similar. In particular, intentions and uncertainty generally decline with age, but increase with regular church attendance, remarriage, and being Catholic. Unlike earlier studies, we found that the sex of previous children has virtually no impact on third-birth intentions or uncertainty.
利用1995年加拿大综合社会调查（GSS - 95）的数据，我们对已有两个孩子的男女样本（N = 505）生育第三个孩子的意愿进行了研究。我们的研究结果表明，15%的受访者打算生育第三个孩子。近20%的受访者对其生育意愿不确定。我们发现，预测生育意愿的因素同样也能预测不确定性，而且这些预测因素的影响非常相似。具体而言，生育意愿和不确定性通常会随着年龄增长而下降，但会随着定期去教堂做礼拜、再婚以及信奉天主教而增加。与早期研究不同的是，我们发现前几个孩子的性别对生育第三个孩子的意愿或不确定性几乎没有影响。
