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临床试验设计中的独立性与统计推断:教程综述

Independence and statistical inference in clinical trial designs: a tutorial review.

作者信息

Bolton S

机构信息

College of Pharmacy, University of Arizona, Tucson, USA.

出版信息

J Clin Pharmacol. 1998 May;38(5):408-12. doi: 10.1002/j.1552-4604.1998.tb04444.x.

Abstract

The requirements for statistical approaches to the design, analysis, and interpretation of experimental data are now accepted by the scientific community. This is of particular importance in medical studies where public health consequences are of concern. Investigators in the clinical sciences should be cognizant of statistical principles in general, but should always be wary of the pursuing their own analyses and engage statisticians for data analysis whenever possible. Examples of circumstances that require statistical evaluation not found in textbooks and not always obvious to the lay person are pervasive. Incorrect statistical evaluation and analyses in such situations will result in erroneous and potentially serious misleading interpretation of clinical data. Although a statistician may not be responsible for any misinterpretations in such unfortunate circumstances, the quote often cited about statisticians and "damned liars" may appear to be more truth than fable. This article is a tutorial review and describes a common misuse of clinical data resulting in an apparently large sample size derived from a small number of patients. This mistake is a consequence of ignoring the dependency of results, treating multiple observations from a single patient as independent observations.

摘要

科学界现已认可对实验数据进行设计、分析和解释时采用统计方法的要求。这在涉及公共卫生后果的医学研究中尤为重要。临床科学领域的研究人员总体上应了解统计原则,但应始终警惕自行进行分析,尽可能聘请统计学家进行数据分析。需要进行统计评估的情况在教科书中并未提及,外行人也并非总能明显察觉,此类情况普遍存在。在这种情况下进行错误的统计评估和分析将导致对临床数据的错误解读,并可能产生严重的误导。尽管在这种不幸的情况下,统计学家可能不对任何错误解读负责,但那句常被引用的关于统计学家和“该死的骗子”的话似乎并非无稽之谈。本文是一篇教程综述,描述了一种常见的临床数据误用情况,即从少数患者中得出看似大样本量的结果。这个错误是忽视结果依赖性的后果,将来自单个患者的多个观察结果视为独立观察结果。

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