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具有出生脉冲的人群中传染病的动态变化。

The dynamics of an infectious disease in a population with birth pulses.

作者信息

Roberts M G, Kao R R

机构信息

AgResearch, Wallaceville Animal Research Centre, Upper Hutt, New Zealand.

出版信息

Math Biosci. 1998 Apr;149(1):23-36. doi: 10.1016/s0025-5564(97)10016-5.

Abstract

In most models of population dynamics increases in population due to births are assumed to be time-independent, but many species of wild animal give birth only during a single period of the year. We propose a model for the dynamics of a fatal infectious disease in a wild animal population for which births occur in a single pulse once per time period. Periodic solutions are found and criteria for their stability determined. A simple example applied to tuberculosis in the possum is used to illustrate the effect of the birth pulse on critical population parameters.

摘要

在大多数种群动态模型中,假定由于出生导致的种群增长与时间无关,但许多野生动物物种只在一年中的单一时期产仔。我们针对野生动物种群中的一种致命传染病的动态提出了一个模型,其中每个时间段产仔一次,呈单脉冲形式。找到了周期解并确定了其稳定性标准。一个应用于负鼠结核病的简单例子用于说明产仔脉冲对关键种群参数的影响。

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