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关于具有随机效应的脉冲式有害生物综合管理模型

On impulsive integrated pest management models with stochastic effects.

作者信息

Akman Olcay, Comar Timothy D, Hrozencik Daniel

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Illinois State University Normal, IL, USA.

Department of Mathematics, Benedictine University Lisle, IL, USA.

出版信息

Front Neurosci. 2015 Apr 21;9:119. doi: 10.3389/fnins.2015.00119. eCollection 2015.

Abstract

We extend existing impulsive differential equation models for integrated pest management (IPM) by including stage structure for both predator and prey as well as by adding stochastic elements in the birth rate of the prey. Based on our model, we propose an approach that incorporates various competing stochastic components. This approach enables us to select a model with optimally determined weights for maximum accuracy and precision in parameter estimation. This is significant in the case of IPM because the proposed model accommodates varying unknown environmental and climatic conditions, which affect the resources needed for pest eradication.

摘要

我们通过纳入捕食者和猎物的阶段结构,并在猎物的出生率中添加随机因素,扩展了现有的用于综合虫害管理(IPM)的脉冲微分方程模型。基于我们的模型,我们提出了一种纳入各种相互竞争的随机成分的方法。这种方法使我们能够选择一个具有最优确定权重的模型,以在参数估计中实现最大的准确性和精确性。在综合虫害管理的情况下,这一点很重要,因为所提出的模型考虑了不同的未知环境和气候条件,这些条件会影响根除害虫所需的资源。

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