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在提出多个假设时设定似然比的界限。

Setting bounds for the likelihood ratio when multiple hypotheses are postulated.

作者信息

Buckleton J S, Evett I W, Weir B S

机构信息

Interpretation Research Group, Forensic Science Service, London, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Sci Justice. 1998 Jan-Mar;38(1):23-6. doi: 10.1016/S1355-0306(98)72069-6.

Abstract

The interpretation of mixtures of DNA in the forensic context presents particular challenges. The only logical means available for dealing with them is through Bayesian inference, which leads to the formulation, in most cases, of a likelihood ratio which weighs the evidence in favour of two competing hypotheses. However, situations can arise in which additional hypotheses are proposed and the authors discuss one such situation--that where the number of contributors to the mixture is in dispute. A way of dealing with the problem is presented.

摘要

在法医领域对DNA混合物进行解读存在特殊挑战。处理它们的唯一合理方法是通过贝叶斯推理,在大多数情况下,这会得出一个似然比,该似然比权衡支持两个相互竞争假设的证据。然而,可能会出现提出额外假设的情况,作者讨论了其中一种情况——即混合物中贡献者的数量存在争议的情况。文中提出了一种处理该问题的方法。

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