Greenberg D M
Department of Psychiatry, University of Ottawa, Ontario.
Can J Psychiatry. 1998 Jun;43(5):459-65. doi: 10.1177/070674379804300502.
To examine the recidivism rates of the various types of adult sex offenders including incest offenders, extrafamilial child molesters, exhibitionists, and rapists.
An examination of the literature over the past 4 decades and the data from our own study group.
Methodological shortfalls and differences across the studies make statistical appraisal of the results difficult. Nevertheless, there is a consensus that incest offenders are less likely to reoffend compared with extrafamilial child molesters. Rapists and exhibitionists are thought to be at a higher risk for recidivism.
A combined actuarial predictive approach in conjunction with empirically guided clinical assessment is probably the best method to predict recidivism of sex offenders.
研究各类成年性犯罪者的累犯率，包括乱伦犯罪者、家庭外儿童性骚扰者、露阴癖者和强奸犯。
查阅过去40年的文献以及我们自己研究小组的数据。
研究中的方法缺陷和差异使得对结果进行统计评估变得困难。然而，人们一致认为，与家庭外儿童性骚扰者相比，乱伦犯罪者再次犯罪的可能性较小。强奸犯和露阴癖者被认为累犯风险较高。
结合精算预测方法和经验指导下的临床评估可能是预测性犯罪者累犯的最佳方法。
