Sickles E A
Department of Radiology, School of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, USA.
J Natl Cancer Inst Monogr. 1997(22):99-104. doi: 10.1093/jncimono/1997.22.99.
The several randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of breast cancer screening among women of ages 40 to 49 now collectively show a statistically significant reduction in breast cancer mortality. However, there have been numerous recent advances in mammography, such that it now is demonstrably better than when the RCTs were conducted. The use of surrogate measures of screening efficacy (tumor size, lymph node status, cancer stage), readily derived from modern service screening programs, demonstrates how the improved mammography of the 1990s should produce a greater degree of mortality reduction among women ages 40-49 than that already demonstrated in the RCTs. Indeed, these surrogate measures of mortality reduction are as favorable for women of ages 40-49 and 65+ as they are for women of ages 50-64, strongly suggesting that, since modern service screening is accepted as effectively reducing mortality among women of ages 50-64, it should also effectively reduce mortality among women in the 40-49 and 65+ age groups.
目前,针对40至49岁女性的多项乳腺癌筛查随机对照试验(RCT)共同表明,乳腺癌死亡率在统计学上有显著降低。然而,近年来乳腺摄影技术有了许多进展,现在它明显比开展随机对照试验时更好。从现代服务筛查项目中很容易得出的筛查效果替代指标(肿瘤大小、淋巴结状态、癌症分期)表明,20世纪90年代改进后的乳腺摄影技术在40至49岁女性中应比随机对照试验中已证明的情况产生更大程度的死亡率降低。事实上,这些死亡率降低的替代指标对40至49岁和65岁以上女性的有利程度与对50至64岁女性的有利程度相同,这有力地表明,既然现代服务筛查被认为能有效降低50至64岁女性的死亡率,那么它也应该能有效降低40至49岁和65岁以上年龄组女性的死亡率。