Towler B, Irwig L, Glasziou P, Kewenter J, Weller D, Silagy C
The Australasian Cochrane Centre, Flinders Medical Centre, Bedford Park, Adelaide 5042, Australia.
BMJ. 1998 Aug 29;317(7158):559-65. doi: 10.1136/bmj.317.7158.559.
To review effectiveness of screening for colorectal cancer with faecal occult blood test, Hemoccult, and to consider benefits and harms of screening.
Systematic review of trials of Hemoccult screening, with meta-analysis of results from the randomised controlled trials.
Four randomised controlled trials and two non-randomised trials of about 330 000 and 113 000 people respectively aged >=40 years in five countries.
Meta-analysis of effects of screening on mortality from colorectal cancer.
Quality of trial design was generally high, and screening resulted in a favourable shift in the stage distribution of colorectal cancers in the screening groups. Meta-analysis of mortality results from the four randomised controlled trials showed that those allocated to screening had a reduction in mortality from colorectal cancer of 16% (relative risk 0.84 (95% confidence interval 0.77 to 0.93)). When adjusted for attendance for screening, this reduction was 23% (relative risk 0.77 (0.57 to 0.89)) for people actually screened. If a biennial Hemoccult screening programme were offered to 10 000 people and about two thirds attended for at least one Hemoccult test, 8.5 (3.6 to 13.5) deaths from colorectal cancer would be prevented over a period of 10 years.
Although benefits of screening are likely to outweigh harms for populations at high risk of colorectal cancer, more information is needed about the harmful effects of screening, the community's responses to screening, and costs of screening for different healthcare systems before widespread screening can be recommended.
回顾使用粪便潜血试验(Hemoccult)筛查结直肠癌的有效性,并探讨筛查的益处和危害。
对Hemoccult筛查试验进行系统评价,并对随机对照试验的结果进行荟萃分析。
来自五个国家的四项随机对照试验和两项非随机试验,分别涉及约33万人和11.3万人,年龄均≥40岁。
对筛查对结直肠癌死亡率的影响进行荟萃分析。
试验设计质量总体较高,筛查使筛查组结直肠癌的分期分布向有利方向转变。对四项随机对照试验的死亡率结果进行荟萃分析显示,被分配到筛查组的人群结直肠癌死亡率降低了16%(相对危险度0.84(95%可信区间0.77至0.93))。在对筛查参与情况进行调整后,实际接受筛查人群的死亡率降低了23%(相对危险度0.77(0.57至0.89))。如果为10000人提供两年一次的Hemoccult筛查计划,约三分之二的人至少参加一次Hemoccult检测,那么在10年期间可预防8.5例(3.6至13.5例)结直肠癌死亡。
虽然对于结直肠癌高危人群,筛查的益处可能超过危害,但在推荐广泛开展筛查之前,还需要更多关于筛查有害影响、社区对筛查的反应以及不同医疗体系筛查成本的信息。