Sørensen H T, Nielsen G L, Schønheyder H C, Steffensen F H, Hansen I, Sabroe S, Dahlerup J F, Hamburger H, Olsen J
The Danish Epidemiology Science Centre at the Department of Epidemiology and Social Medicine, University of Aarhus.
J Clin Epidemiol. 1998 Sep;51(9):717-21. doi: 10.1016/s0895-4356(98)00064-x.
To assess the effect of pre-hospital antibiotic treatment given by general practitioners to patients with meningococcal disease.
A 16-year population-based historical follow-up study based on referral letters and hospital records in the County of North Jutland, Denmark.
320 patients with meningococcal disease, of whom 302 were examined by a general practitioner before admission to hospital.
Death.
44 patients (14.6%) were given antibiotic treatment by the referring general practitioner. Nine of these (20.5%) died, compared with 16 (6.2%) patients who did not receive pre-hospital antibiotic treatment. The presence of skin bleeding, petechiae, and impaired consciousness were strongly associated with case fatality. Even after adjustment for these variables the odds ratio (OR) for death in patients treated with antibiotics was high (OR = 3.2; 95% CI, 0.9-10.6). In the 15 patients with skin bleeding (ecchymoses, suggillations) the case fatality rate was 100% in patients treated with antibiotics, and 50% in patients who did not receive antibiotics before hospitalization. If skin bleeding was replaced in the models by the presence of disseminated intravascular coagulation on admission, the OR for death in patients with pre-hospital antibiotic treatment was 35.9 (95% CI, 2.9-441.8) in the presence of disseminated intravascular coagulation and 1.9 (95% CI, 0.2-19.5) in its absence.
Pre-hospital treatment is mainly given to the most severe cases with expected high case fatality, and this confounding by indication was probably not fully adjusted for with the available data. The results contradict previous findings but provide reason to doubt the benefit of pre-hospital antibiotic treatment in patients with meningococcal disease.
评估全科医生对脑膜炎球菌病患者进行院前抗生素治疗的效果。
一项基于丹麦北日德兰郡转诊信和医院记录的为期16年的基于人群的历史随访研究。
320例脑膜炎球菌病患者,其中302例在入院前接受了全科医生的检查。
死亡情况。
44例患者(14.6%)接受了转诊全科医生给予的抗生素治疗。其中9例(20.5%)死亡,而未接受院前抗生素治疗的患者中有16例(6.2%)死亡。皮肤出血、瘀点和意识障碍与病死率密切相关。即使对这些变量进行调整后,接受抗生素治疗患者的死亡比值比(OR)仍较高(OR = 3.2;95%可信区间,0.9 - 10.6)。在15例有皮肤出血(瘀斑、紫癜)的患者中,接受抗生素治疗的患者病死率为100%,而住院前未接受抗生素治疗的患者病死率为50%。如果在模型中用入院时弥散性血管内凝血的存在替代皮肤出血,那么在存在弥散性血管内凝血的情况下,接受院前抗生素治疗患者的死亡OR为35.9(95%可信区间,2.9 - 441.8),在不存在弥散性血管内凝血的情况下为1.9(95%可信区间, 0.2 - 19.5)。
院前治疗主要给予预期病死率高的最严重病例,而这种指征性偏倚可能未通过现有数据得到充分调整。结果与先前的研究结果相矛盾,但有理由怀疑院前抗生素治疗对脑膜炎球菌病患者的益处。