Stokx L J, Post D
Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu, Centrum voor Volksgezonheid Toekomst Verkenningen, Bilthoven.
Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd. 1998 Jun 6;142(23):1338-42.
In the 'Public health status and forecasts' 1997 attention is given to the relationship between health status and health care. The theme report 'Health care need and health care consumption' integrates information about both phenomena and about waiting lists in the different sectors of health care. It is difficult to quantify the need for health care, because statements about need always imply a judgment by parties involved. In the literature need for health care is often operationalized by historical data on health care consumption or by health status indicators. At the national level only limited quantitative information is available to support policy on waiting lists and waiting times. The data are seldom disease-specific. Changes in size and distribution (by age and sex) of the population will increase health care cost over the period 1994-2015 in the Netherlands by 0.9-1.0% per year. More detailed demographic projections, however, indicate that there are large disease-specific differences.
在《1997年公共卫生状况与预测》中，重点关注了健康状况与医疗保健之间的关系。主题报告《医疗保健需求与医疗保健消费》整合了有关这两种现象以及不同医疗保健部门候诊名单的信息。量化医疗保健需求很困难，因为关于需求的表述总是意味着相关方的一种判断。在文献中，医疗保健需求通常通过医疗保健消费的历史数据或健康状况指标来实施。在国家层面，仅有有限的定量信息可用于支持关于候诊名单和候诊时间的政策。这些数据很少针对特定疾病。1994 - 2015年期间，荷兰人口规模和分布（按年龄和性别）的变化将使医疗保健成本每年增加0.9 - 1.0%。然而，更详细的人口预测表明，存在很大的疾病特异性差异。
