Geishauser T, Shoukri M, Kelton D, Leslie K
Department of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Canada.
J Dairy Sci. 1998 Sep;81(9):2346-53. doi: 10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(98)70125-0.
The objective of this study was to analyze the survivorship of dairy cows after displaced abomasum was diagnosed. Survivorship from the calving preceeding diagnosis of displaced abomasum to removal from the herd was investigated for cows that were diagnosed with displaced abomasum compared with herdmates. For cows that were diagnosed with displaced abomasum, factors that affected survivorship from the diagnosis of the disease to removal were investigated. Data from a total of 135 cows that had been diagnosed with displaced abomasum and 373 controls matched by herd and lactation number were available from a database at the University of Guelph. The hazard rate of removal from the herd was estimated using proportional hazard regression adjusted for intraherd correlation. Diagnosis of displaced abomasum significantly increased the hazarad rate of removal from the herd. For cows that were diagnosed with displaced abomasum the hazard rate of removal increased as parity increased. However, the hazard rate decreased with recurrent displaced abomasum and with higher days in milk at diagnosis of the disease. Although the 305-d milk production of cows that were diagnosed with displaced abomasum was lower during the lactation when the disease was diagnosed, 305-d milk production was not associated with removal of cows with that disease from the herd. Milk production during subsequent lactations did not differ between cows that were diagnosed with displaced abomasum and control cows. Low milk production during the subsequent lactations increased the hazard of removal of cows with that disease from the herd.
本研究的目的是分析奶牛真胃移位被诊断后其存活情况。对被诊断为真胃移位的奶牛,研究从诊断前产犊至从牛群中被移除期间的存活情况,并与同群奶牛进行比较。对于被诊断为真胃移位的奶牛,调查了从疾病诊断到被移除期间影响存活的因素。来自圭尔夫大学数据库的共有135头被诊断为真胃移位的奶牛以及373头按牛群和泌乳次数匹配的对照奶牛的数据可供使用。利用针对牛群内相关性进行调整的比例风险回归估计从牛群中被移除的风险率。真胃移位的诊断显著增加了从牛群中被移除的风险率。对于被诊断为真胃移位的奶牛,随着胎次增加,被移除的风险率上升。然而,风险率随着复发性真胃移位以及疾病诊断时泌乳天数增加而降低。虽然被诊断为真胃移位的奶牛在疾病诊断时的泌乳期内305天产奶量较低,但305天产奶量与患该病奶牛从牛群中被移除无关。被诊断为真胃移位的奶牛与对照奶牛在后续泌乳期的产奶量没有差异。后续泌乳期的低产奶量增加了患该病奶牛从牛群中被移除的风险。