Roberts M G, Heesterbeek J A
AgResearch, Animal Health Division, Wallaceville Animal Research Centre, Upper Hutt, New Zealand.
J Math Biol. 1998 Sep;37(3):272-90. doi: 10.1007/s002850050129.
During their first year of life sheep acquire parasites through grazing, and simultaneously build up an immunity to infection. At the beginning of each year non-immune lambs are introduced onto contaminated pasture. We represent this process by differential equations describing the within-year dynamics, and defining a difference equation that describes the between-year dynamics. An example with two system parameters is analysed in detail. It is shown that regions exist in parameter space where periodic (between-year) or aperiodic solutions occur. Parasite control schemes could change the system dynamics from a stable equilibrium to complicated long-term fluctuations.
在生命的第一年,绵羊通过放牧感染寄生虫,同时逐渐建立起对感染的免疫力。每年年初,无免疫力的羔羊被引入受污染的牧场。我们用描述年内动态的微分方程来表示这个过程,并定义一个描述年际动态的差分方程。详细分析了一个具有两个系统参数的例子。结果表明,在参数空间中存在一些区域,会出现周期性(年际)或非周期性解。寄生虫控制方案可能会使系统动态从稳定平衡转变为复杂的长期波动。