Baumgardner J R
Division of Health and Human Resources, Congressional Budget Office, Washington, DC 20515, USA.
Inquiry. 1998 Fall;35(3):266-79.
This paper assesses the likely effects of proposed federal programs to provide temporary subsidies to unemployed people for purchasing health insurance. A simulation model, using the Survey of Income and Program Participation and data from other sources, was used to quantify various effects of a typical proposal. The model illustrates how changing eligibility rules and subsidy formulas would alter the cost and other measures of program performance. If the plan were fully operational in 1998, about 1.1 million people (including insured dependents) would get at least a month of new insurance sometime during the year. The program would reduce the number of uninsured by less than half a million people.
本文评估了联邦政府提出的为失业人员购买医疗保险提供临时补贴计划可能产生的影响。利用收入与项目参与情况调查以及其他来源的数据构建了一个模拟模型,用于量化一项典型提案的各种影响。该模型说明了改变资格规则和补贴公式将如何改变项目成本及其他绩效指标。如果该计划于1998年全面实施,那么在这一年中的某个时候,约110万人(包括受保家属)将至少获得一个月的新保险。该计划将使未参保人数减少不到50万。