Tormans G
Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine, University of Antwerp, Belgium.
J Travel Med. 1994 Sep 1;1(3):127-135. doi: 10.1111/j.1708-8305.1994.tb00579.x.
Hepatitis A viral infection poses a substantial risk for travelers from low-endemic countries visiting high-endemic destinations. In this study, the general indications for the optimal prevention of hepatitis A are derived using a cost-effectiveness analysis based on the risk exposure determined by frequency and duration of travel as well as natural immunity. Three possible hepatitis A prevention strategies are compared to no prophylaxis: active immunization; an initial screening for HAV followed by active immunization of susceptible travelers; and passive immunization with immune globulins. Using a number of baseline assumptions, a scenario for travel from low- to high-endemic countries and an average travel duration and frequency rate, threshold values were obtained comparing active versus passive immunization. The study shows that, for travelers not expected to journey more than twice in a 10-year period, passive immunization is the most cost-effective prophylaxis for travel from both very-low or low-to-high endemic areas. For more frequent travel, vaccination is more cost effective, as well as for journeys of 6-months' duration or longer. As well, pretravel screening before vaccination was shown to be worthwhile, except when the probability of natural immunity is low. As the results indicate, the cost effectiveness of a strategy is related to several considerations: the prices of vaccine and screening tests, travel destinations and endemic conditions, frequency and duration of travel, and natural immunity. A decision-tree-based simulation model is helpful in determining the strategy to employ.
甲型肝炎病毒感染对来自低流行国家前往高流行目的地的旅行者构成重大风险。在本研究中,基于旅行频率和时长以及自然免疫力所确定的风险暴露,通过成本效益分析得出甲型肝炎最佳预防的一般指征。将三种可能的甲型肝炎预防策略与不进行预防的情况进行比较:主动免疫;对甲型肝炎病毒进行初始筛查,然后对易感旅行者进行主动免疫;以及用免疫球蛋白进行被动免疫。利用一些基线假设、从低流行国家到高流行国家的旅行情景以及平均旅行时长和频率,得出了比较主动免疫与被动免疫的阈值。研究表明,对于预计在10年内旅行不超过两次的旅行者,被动免疫是从极低或低流行地区到高流行地区旅行最具成本效益的预防措施。对于更频繁的旅行,以及旅行时长为6个月或更长时间的情况,接种疫苗更具成本效益。此外,除了自然免疫力概率较低的情况外,接种疫苗前的旅行前筛查被证明是值得的。结果表明,一种策略的成本效益与几个因素有关:疫苗和筛查测试的价格、旅行目的地和流行情况、旅行频率和时长以及自然免疫力。基于决策树的模拟模型有助于确定应采用的策略。