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1996/97年法属波利尼西亚登革热2型疫情期间登革热临床和生物学表现的变化——一项前瞻性研究中的描述与分析

Changing clinical and biological manifestations of dengue during the dengue-2 epidemic in French Polynesia in 1996/97--description and analysis in a prospective study.

作者信息

Deparis X, Murgue B, Roche C, Cassar O, Chungue E

机构信息

Epidemiology Unit, Institut Territorial de Recherches Médicales Louis Malardé, Papeete, Tahiti, French Polynesia.

出版信息

Trop Med Int Health. 1998 Nov;3(11):859-65. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-3156.1998.00319.x.

DOI:10.1046/j.1365-3156.1998.00319.x
PMID:9855396
Abstract

In August 1996 dengue-2 virus was detected in French Polynesia for the first time since 1976. A prospective study was conducted from November 1996 to April 1997. Each time one of 7 physicians suspected dengue, the patient was enrolled and epidemiological, clinical and biological data were recorded. Dengue diagnosis was confirmed by virus isolation and IgM detection. The aims of this study were to find clinical and biological predictive factors constituting a specific profile of dengue (DF) and dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF/DSS) and to assess the possibility of diagnosing dengue at primary health care level using clinical criteria and basic laboratory parameters. Of 298 clinically suspect cases, 196 (66%) were confirmed as dengue. The association of macular rash, pruritus, low platelet count and leukopenia was statistically predictive of dengue but not clinically, since these four signs occur in many other viral infections. As the prevalence of clinical and biological manifestations varied over time in our study, a specific profile useful for dengue diagnosis cannot be defined. With six cases of DHF, the morbidity of this dengue-2 outbreak was very low despite the sequential infection scheme DEN-3/DEN-2. The clinical expression of dengue could depend on a specific virus strain circulating in a specific population in a particular place, with varying virulence over time.

摘要

1996年8月,法属波利尼西亚自1976年以来首次检测到登革2型病毒。1996年11月至1997年4月开展了一项前瞻性研究。每当7名医生中的一名怀疑为登革热时,该患者即被纳入研究,并记录其流行病学、临床和生物学数据。通过病毒分离和IgM检测确诊登革热。本研究的目的是找出构成登革热(DF)和登革出血热(DHF/DSS)特定特征的临床和生物学预测因素,并评估使用临床标准和基本实验室参数在初级卫生保健层面诊断登革热的可能性。在298例临床疑似病例中,196例(66%)被确诊为登革热。斑丘疹、瘙痒、血小板计数低和白细胞减少的组合在统计学上可预测登革热,但在临床上并非如此,因为这四种体征在许多其他病毒感染中也会出现。由于在我们的研究中临床和生物学表现的患病率随时间变化,因此无法定义一个对登革热诊断有用的特定特征。尽管存在DEN-3/DEN-2的连续感染模式,但此次登革2型病毒暴发中登革出血热的发病率很低,仅有6例。登革热的临床表现可能取决于在特定地点的特定人群中传播的特定病毒株,其毒力会随时间变化。

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