Shekelle P G, Chassin M R, Park R E
West Los Angeles Veterans Affairs Medical Center, USA.
Int J Technol Assess Health Care. 1998 Fall;14(4):707-27. doi: 10.1017/s0266462300012022.
We assessed the predictive validity of an expert panel's ratings of the appropriateness of carotid endarterectomy by comparing ratings to the results of subsequent randomized clinical trials. We found the trials confirmed the ratings for 44 indications (covering almost 30% of operations performed in 1981) and refuted the ratings for none.
我们通过将专家小组对颈动脉内膜切除术适宜性的评级与后续随机临床试验的结果进行比较,评估了该评级的预测效度。我们发现这些试验证实了44种适应症的评级(涵盖了1981年进行的手术的近30%),且无一反驳这些评级。