Mortensen P B, Pedersen C B, Westergaard T, Wohlfahrt J, Ewald H, Mors O, Andersen P K, Melbye M
Department of Psychiatric Demography, Institute for Basic Psychiatric Research, Psychiatric Hospital, Aarhus University Hospital, Risskov, Denmark.
N Engl J Med. 1999 Feb 25;340(8):603-8. doi: 10.1056/NEJM199902253400803.
Although a family history of schizophrenia is the best-established risk factor for schizophrenia, environmental factors such as the place and season of birth may also be important.
Using data from the Civil Registration System in Denmark, we established a population-based cohort of 1.75 million persons whose mothers were Danish women born between 1935 and 1978. We linked this cohort to the Danish Psychiatric Central Register and identified 2669 cases of schizophrenia among cohort members and additional cases among their parents.
The respective relative risks of schizophrenia for persons with a mother, father, or sibling who had schizophrenia were 9.31 (95 percent confidence interval, 7.24 to 11.96), 7.20 (95 percent confidence interval, 5.10 to 10.16), and 6.99 (95 percent confidence interval, 5.38 to 9.09), as compared with persons with no affected parents or siblings. The risk of schizophrenia was associated with the degree of urbanization of the place of birth (relative risk for the capital vs. rural areas, 2.40; 95 percent confidence interval, 2.13 to 2.70). The risk was also significantly associated with the season of birth; it was highest for births in February and March and lowest for births in August and September. The population attributable risk was 5.5 percent for a history of schizophrenia in a parent or sibling, 34.6 percent for urban place of birth, and 10.5 percent for the season of birth.
Although a history of schizophrenia in a parent or sibling is associated with the highest relative risk of having the disease, the place and season of birth account for many more cases on a population basis.
尽管精神分裂症家族史是精神分裂症最明确的风险因素,但诸如出生地点和季节等环境因素也可能很重要。
利用丹麦民事登记系统的数据,我们建立了一个基于人群的队列,其中有175万人,他们的母亲是1935年至1978年出生的丹麦女性。我们将这个队列与丹麦精神病中央登记处相联系,在队列成员及其父母中确定了2669例精神分裂症病例。
与父母或兄弟姐妹未患精神分裂症的人相比,母亲、父亲或兄弟姐妹患有精神分裂症的人的精神分裂症相对风险分别为9.31(95%置信区间,7.24至11.96)、7.20(95%置信区间,5.10至10.16)和6.99(95%置信区间,5.38至9.09)。精神分裂症的风险与出生地点的城市化程度有关(首都与农村地区的相对风险,2.40;95%置信区间,2.13至2.70)。风险也与出生季节显著相关;2月和3月出生的风险最高,8月和9月出生的风险最低。父母或兄弟姐妹有精神分裂症病史的人群归因风险为5.5%,城市出生地点为34.6%,出生季节为10.5%。
尽管父母或兄弟姐妹有精神分裂症病史与患该病的相对风险最高有关,但从人群角度来看,出生地点和季节导致的病例更多。