Ary D V, Duncan T E, Duncan S C, Hops H
Oregon Research Institute, Eugene 97403, USA.
Behav Res Ther. 1999 Mar;37(3):217-30. doi: 10.1016/s0005-7967(98)00133-8.
This paper presents evidence that the Patterson et al. (1992) model of development of antisocial behavior in children generalizes to the development of a wide array of problem behaviors during later adolescence and that youth antisocial behavior, high-risk sexual behavior, academic failure and substance use form a single problem behavior construct. Structural equation modeling methods were applied to 24-month longitudinal data from 204 adolescents and parents. The model fit the data well, accounting for 52% of the variance in adolescent problem behavior. Specifically, families experiencing high levels of conflict were more likely to have low levels of parent-child involvement. These family conditions were related to poor parental monitoring and association with deviant peers one year later. Poor parental monitoring and associations with deviant peers were strong proximal predictors of engagement in an array of problem behaviors at two-year follow-up.
本文提供的证据表明，帕特森等人（1992年）提出的儿童反社会行为发展模型可推广至青少年后期一系列问题行为的发展，且青少年反社会行为、高风险性行为、学业失败和物质使用构成了一个单一的问题行为结构。结构方程建模方法应用于来自204名青少年及其父母的24个月纵向数据。该模型与数据拟合良好，解释了青少年问题行为中52%的方差。具体而言，冲突程度高的家庭亲子参与度更有可能较低。这些家庭状况与一年后父母监管不力以及与不良同伴交往有关。父母监管不力以及与不良同伴交往是两年随访时参与一系列问题行为的有力近端预测因素。
