Vallin J
World Health Stat Rep. 1976;29(11):646-74.
Despite the considerable progress made in recent decades, and perhaps even partly because of the very uneven distribution of this progress, infant mortality is still very high in some regions, whereas in other regions it is tending, if not disappear completely, at least to become numerically negligible even though remaining a matter of social concern. Whereas in tropical Africa almost one child in five dies before its first birthday, in Japan or Scandinavia it is one child in a hundred. Infant mortality rate varies between these two extremes, but there is a substantial gulf between the "most developed" regions which are all below 30% and the "least developed" regions which fall into three categories: 65-100% (Latin America, Eastern Asia except Japan), around 140% (Northern Africa, South Asia, Melanesia), and about 200% (topical Africa). These inequalities between countries overlap with inequalities between social groupings by urbanization, social/occupational level, education and income, are all variables that are correlated with infant mortality to a greater or lesser degree. The pace of the progress achieved since 1950 seems to be independent of the starting level. Contrary to the development of mortality at other ages, it is not in the countries with high mortality that infant mortality has decreased most. The pace of reduction divides the most developed regions into three distinct groups: very rapid reduction (Japan), rapid reduction (Scandinavia, Western Europe, Southern Europe and Eastern Europe), and slower reduction (British Isles, Northern America and Australia/New Zealand). Thus Japan rapidly caught up with Western Europe and the English-speaking countries and has now reached the same level as Scandinavia. On the other hand, the English-speaking countries have fallen behind the Scandinavian countries and are now at par with Western Europe. The reduction of infant mortality mainly concerned deaths of children over one month of age or even over one week of age and otherwise is due to reduction of infectious diseases. Consequently, in the most developed regions mortality is highly concentrated in the first week of life and is mainly attributable to the "causes of perinatal mortality" and the "congenital" anomalies". In the least developed regions, on the other hand, the infectious or parasitic diseases are still of decisive importance and the risk of death remains very high throughout the first year of life and even beyond. The risk may be even higher during the second year, when weaning takes place abruptly and results in serious difficulties in feeding.
尽管近几十年来取得了显著进展,而且也许正是由于这种进展分布极不均衡,某些地区的婴儿死亡率仍然很高,而在其他地区,即使没有完全消失,至少在数量上已变得微不足道,尽管它仍是一个社会关注的问题。在热带非洲,几乎每五个孩子中就有一个在一岁前死亡,而在日本或斯堪的纳维亚半岛,这一比例是百分之一。婴儿死亡率在这两个极端之间变化,但在“最发达”地区(均低于30‰)和“最不发达”地区之间存在巨大差距,“最不发达”地区分为三类:65 - 100‰(拉丁美洲、除日本外的东亚),约140‰(北非、南亚、美拉尼西亚),以及约200‰(热带非洲)。国家之间的这些不平等与城市化、社会/职业水平、教育和收入等社会群体之间的不平等相互重叠,这些变量都与婴儿死亡率或多或少存在关联。自1950年以来取得进展的速度似乎与起始水平无关。与其他年龄段死亡率的发展情况相反,婴儿死亡率下降幅度最大的并非是死亡率高的国家。下降速度将最发达地区分为三个不同的群体:下降非常迅速(日本)、下降迅速(斯堪的纳维亚半岛、西欧、南欧和东欧)以及下降较慢(不列颠群岛、北美和澳大利亚/新西兰)。因此,日本迅速赶上了西欧和英语国家,现在已达到与斯堪的纳维亚半岛相同的水平。另一方面,英语国家落后于斯堪的纳维亚国家,现在与西欧处于同一水平。婴儿死亡率的下降主要涉及一个月以上甚至一周以上儿童的死亡,其他方面则归因于传染病的减少。因此,在最发达地区,死亡率高度集中在生命的第一周,主要归因于“围产期死亡原因”和“先天性”异常。另一方面,在最不发达地区,传染病或寄生虫病仍然至关重要,在生命的第一年甚至更长时间内死亡风险仍然很高。在第二年风险可能更高,因为此时突然断奶会导致喂养方面的严重困难。