Howland J, Stokes J, Crane S C, Belanger A J
Health Care Financ Rev. 1987 Winter;9(2):15-23.
Researchers have sought ways to modify Medicare's capitation formula, the adjusted average per capita cost (AAPCC), by including measures of individual health status. The present study assesses the value of risk factors for disease as predictors of hospitalization for Framingham Heart Study participants (1,210 males and 1,496 females) 60-65 years of age. Regression models including several common physiologic measures and prior hospitalizations yielded adjusted R2s of 9.69 percent for males and 3.61 percent for females. The contributions of the risk factors and prior hospitalization were about equal and independent. These results confirm the potential utility of disease risk factors for adjusting the AAPCC.
研究人员一直在寻找方法,通过纳入个体健康状况指标来调整医疗保险的人头计算公式,即调整后的人均成本(AAPCC)。本研究评估了疾病风险因素作为弗雷明汉心脏研究中60至65岁参与者(1210名男性和1496名女性)住院预测指标的价值。包含几种常见生理指标和既往住院情况的回归模型得出,男性的调整后R²为9.69%,女性为3.61%。风险因素和既往住院情况的贡献大致相等且相互独立。这些结果证实了疾病风险因素在调整AAPCC方面的潜在效用。