Zhang J, Ugnat A M, Clarke K, Mao Y
Environmental Risk Assessment and Case Surveillance Division, Laboratory Centre for Disease Control, Health Canada, Ottawa, Ontario.
Br J Cancer. 1999 Sep;81(1):152-8. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6690665.
This study examined histology-specific incidence trends of ovarian cancer in Canada, 1969-1993. The impact of age, period and cohort effects on these trends were studied by means of age-period-cohort analysis. Age-standardized incidence rates of serous, endometrioid, clear cell and germ cell tumours increased significantly and the rates of sex cord-stromal and other classified epithelial ovarian tumours decreased considerably. The rates of mucinous and NOS/unclassified tumours remained unchanged. Cohort effect has a major impact on incidence trends of serous, endometrioid, germ cell, sex cord-stromal and other classified epithelial ovarian tumours but no meaningful impact on trends of mucinous, clear cell, or NOS/unclassified ovarian tumours. Various cohort patterns by histology subtypes were observed: the risk of developing serious tumours increased markedly among birth cohorts of 1895-1930, stabilized thereafter and decreased among young cohorts of 1950-1960; the risk of germ cell tumours increased significantly among young cohorts of 1965-1980; and the risk of sex cord-stromal tumours dropped constantly among cohorts 1910-1950. Various period patterns by histology subtypes observed in this study suggested changes in histology classification criteria over the period. Further studies need to consider the various etiologies and the classification criteria changes according to histology subtypes.
本研究调查了1969 - 1993年加拿大卵巢癌的组织学特异性发病趋势。通过年龄-时期-队列分析研究了年龄、时期和队列效应对这些趋势的影响。浆液性、子宫内膜样、透明细胞和生殖细胞肿瘤的年龄标准化发病率显著上升,性索间质肿瘤和其他分类的上皮性卵巢肿瘤发病率则大幅下降。黏液性肿瘤和未另行分类/未分类肿瘤的发病率保持不变。队列效应在浆液性、子宫内膜样、生殖细胞、性索间质和其他分类的上皮性卵巢肿瘤的发病趋势中具有主要影响,但对黏液性、透明细胞或未另行分类/未分类的卵巢肿瘤趋势没有显著影响。观察到不同组织学亚型的队列模式各异:1895 - 1930年出生队列中发生严重肿瘤的风险显著增加,此后趋于稳定,而在1950 - 1960年的年轻队列中则下降;1965 - 1980年的年轻队列中生殖细胞肿瘤风险显著增加;1910 - 1950年队列中性索间质肿瘤风险持续下降。本研究中观察到的不同组织学亚型的时期模式表明该时期组织学分类标准发生了变化。进一步研究需要考虑各种病因以及根据组织学亚型的分类标准变化。