Heller I, Topilsky M, Shapira I, Isakov A
Department of Internal Medicine H, Tel-Aviv Medical Center, Israel.
Methods Inf Med. 1999 Sep;38(3):182-6.
Previously undescribed algebraic transforms of Bayes' theorem define families of operating points in the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) space which, at given pre-test probability, produce constant post-test probabilities. These isopredictive operating points form straight lines in the ROC space. The lines can be used to emulate Bayesian sequential analysis in a strictly graphic procedure, which can be applied in clinical work and medical education.
贝叶斯定理先前未被描述的代数变换定义了接收器操作特性（ROC）空间中的一系列操作点，在给定的预测试概率下，这些点会产生恒定的后测试概率。这些等预测操作点在ROC空间中形成直线。这些直线可用于在严格的图形过程中模拟贝叶斯序贯分析，该过程可应用于临床工作和医学教育。
