Goldacre M J, Davidson J M, Lambert T W
UK Medical Careers Research Group, Unit of Health-Care Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, University of Oxford, Old Road, Oxford OX3 7LF, UK.
Med Educ. 1999 Dec;33(12):882-9. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2923.1999.00560.x.
To report the career intentions one year after qualification of doctors who qualified in the United Kingdom (UK) in 1996, and to compare their intentions with those of 1993 qualifiers at the same stage.
Postal questionnaires.
United Kingdom.
All doctors who qualified in the UK in 1996.
Choices of eventual career expressed one year after qualifying.
We report on detailed choices of long-term careers for all specialties. Only 20% of 1996 respondents chose general practice compared with 25.8% of 1993 respondents. The percentage choosing general practice fell more sharply among women, from 34.0% to 25.2%, than among men, from 17.5% to 14.1%. Choices for surgical specialties rose from 16.9% of 1993 respondents to 21. 4% of 1996 respondents. The percentage choosing the surgical specialties rose among women, from 7.8% to 11.6%, compared with a rise among men from 26.1% to 32.2%. The percentage of respondents who definitely or probably intended to pursue a long-term career in the UK was 77.7% compared with 75.7% of 1993 respondents. Most of the home-based respondents who had doubts about practising in the United Kingdom were considering practising abroad. Only 1% made an explicit first choice for a non-medical career. However, in all, 9. 4% said that there was a possibility that they might leave medicine.
The substantial decline in intentions to enter general practice among newly qualified doctors, seen in the 1993 qualifiers, is continued in the 1996 qualifiers. A shortfall in recruitment of UK-trained doctors to general practice is the likely outcome. The rise in choices for the surgical specialties, particularly among women, may herald a renewed interest in hospital specialist training following the Calman changes. It is worrying that almost a quarter of respondents indicated some doubts about pursuing a medical career in the UK.
报告1996年在英国取得资格的医生资格认证一年后的职业意向,并将他们的意向与1993年同期取得资格的医生进行比较。
邮寄问卷调查。
英国。
所有1996年在英国取得资格的医生。
取得资格一年后表示的最终职业选择。
我们报告了所有专业长期职业的详细选择情况。1996年的受访者中只有20%选择全科医疗,而1993年的受访者中这一比例为25.8%。选择全科医疗的比例在女性中下降幅度更大,从34.0%降至25.2%,而男性从17.5%降至14.1%。选择外科专业的比例从1993年受访者的16.9%升至1996年受访者的21.4%。选择外科专业的比例在女性中从7.8%升至11.6%,而男性从26.1%升至32.2%。明确或可能打算在英国从事长期职业的受访者比例为77.7%,而1993年的受访者为75.7%。大多数对在英国行医有疑虑的本国受访者考虑在国外行医。只有1%明确首选非医疗职业。然而,总体而言,9.4%的人表示有可能离开医学领域。
1993年取得资格的新医生中出现的进入全科医疗意向的大幅下降在1996年取得资格的医生中继续存在。可能的结果是英国培训的医生进入全科医疗领域的人数不足。外科专业选择的增加,尤其是在女性中,可能预示着在卡尔曼改革后对医院专科培训重新产生兴趣。令人担忧的是,近四分之一的受访者对在英国从事医疗职业表示有些疑虑。