预测青少年吸烟：一项关于人格变量的前瞻性研究。
Predicting adolescent smoking: a prospective study of personality variables.
作者信息
Burt R D, Dinh K T, Peterson A V, Sarason I G
机构信息
Hutchinson Smoking Prevention Project, Cancer Prevention Research Program, Division of Public Health, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington 98109-1024, USA.
出版信息
Prev Med. 2000 Feb;30(2):115-25. doi: 10.1006/pmed.1999.0605.
OBJECTIVE
We investigated how personality variables measured at 5th grade predict daily smoking in 12th grade.
METHODS
A group of 3130 fifth graders was assessed for a propensity toward Rebelliousness, Risk Taking, Problem Helplessness, Affect Regulation, and Early Maturation and susceptibility to Peer Compliance and Peer Approval. Daily smoking status was determined for 94.7% of them 7 years later, in 12th grade.
RESULTS
Rebelliousness and Risk Taking were the most significant predictors of smoking. There was no statistical evidence that the extent of prediction depended on gender or history of early smoking. No predictive evidence was seen for the other personality measures, including those describing susceptibility to peer influences.
CONCLUSIONS
These results show that propensity toward rebelliousness and risk taking in childhood predicts adolescent smoking. They suggest that smoking prevention programs would do well to address the needs and expectations of rebellious and risk-taking youth.
目的
我们研究了五年级时测量的人格变量如何预测十二年级时的每日吸烟情况。
方法
对一组3130名五年级学生进行评估，了解他们的叛逆倾向、冒险倾向、问题无助感、情绪调节能力、早熟程度以及对同伴顺从和同伴认可的易感性。7年后，在十二年级时确定了其中94.7%学生的每日吸烟状况。
结果
叛逆和冒险是吸烟最显著的预测因素。没有统计证据表明预测程度取决于性别或早期吸烟史。对于其他人格测量指标，包括那些描述对同伴影响易感性的指标，没有发现预测证据。
结论
这些结果表明，童年时期的叛逆和冒险倾向可预测青少年吸烟。它们表明，吸烟预防项目应很好地满足叛逆和冒险青年的需求与期望。
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