Steyerberg E W, Keizer H J, Sleijfer D T, Fossâ S D, Bajorin D F, Gerl A, de Wit R, Kirkels W J, Koops H S, Habbema J D
Dept of Public Health, Center for Clinical Decision Sciences, Ee 2091, Erasmus University, 3000 DR Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Radiology. 2000 May;215(2):437-44. doi: 10.1148/radiology.215.2.r00ma02437.
To determine the relative importance of computed tomographic (CT) measurements for the prediction of histologic findings in residual masses in patients with nonseminomatous testicular cancer.
Measurements of the maximum transverse size of retroperitoneal metastases before and after chemotherapy were available in 641 patients who underwent resection after chemotherapy while their levels of tumor markers were normal. Radiologic measurements of mass size and clinical characteristics (histologic findings in primary tumor and levels of alpha-fetoprotein, human chorionic gonadotropin, and lactate dehydrogenase before chemotherapy) were related to histologic findings in the residual mass with logistic regression analysis.
At resection, 302 patients had benign tissue, and 339 had residual tumor (mature teratomas or cancer). Tumor was more frequent in larger masses after chemotherapy but was unrelated to mass size before chemotherapy. Inclusion of the reduction in size significantly improved the logistic regression model, which included mass size after chemotherapy. This model was further improved with the addition of clinical characteristics. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves increased from 0.74 to 0.77 and 0.83 with these models.
A small retroperitoneal mass after chemotherapy is an important predictor of benign histologic findings in residual masses in patients with nonseminomatous testicular cancer. However, better predictions can be made when the reduction in size and clinical characteristics are considered as well. Decisions regarding resection should be based on the combination of these characteristics rather than on only mass size after chemotherapy.
确定计算机断层扫描(CT)测量对于预测非精原细胞瘤性睾丸癌患者残留肿块组织学结果的相对重要性。
641例化疗后肿瘤标志物水平正常且接受了化疗后切除术的患者,有化疗前后腹膜后转移灶最大横径的测量数据。通过逻辑回归分析,将肿块大小的影像学测量值及临床特征(原发肿瘤的组织学结果和化疗前甲胎蛋白、人绒毛膜促性腺激素及乳酸脱氢酶水平)与残留肿块的组织学结果相关联。
切除时,302例患者为良性组织,339例有残留肿瘤(成熟畸胎瘤或癌)。化疗后较大肿块中肿瘤更常见,但与化疗前肿块大小无关。纳入大小缩小情况显著改善了包含化疗后肿块大小的逻辑回归模型。加入临床特征后该模型进一步改善。这些模型的受试者操作特征曲线下面积从0.74增至0.77和0.83。
化疗后较小的腹膜后肿块是预测非精原细胞瘤性睾丸癌患者残留肿块组织学良性结果的重要指标。然而,若同时考虑大小缩小情况和临床特征,则可做出更好的预测。关于切除术的决策应基于这些特征的综合考量,而非仅依据化疗后肿块大小。