Shimizu S, Aso K, Noda T, Ryukei S, Kochi Y, Yamamoto N
National Institute of Mental Health, Chiba, Japan.
Addiction. 2000 Apr;95(4):529-36. doi: 10.1046/j.1360-0443.2000.9545295.x.
To assess changes in alcohol consumption attributable to the Great Hanshin Earthquake to test the assumption that alcohol consumption increases after natural disasters.
Quarterly alcohol sales figures were compared for three periods: before, immediately after and subsequent to the Great Hanshin Earthquake in three areas of the Hyogo prefecture: the severely affected area, the moderately affected area and the unaffected area. Possible confounding by population movement, damage to retail outlets and normal variation in sales, was assessed.
The quantity of alcoholic beverages consumed in the heavily damaged areas as well as throughout the prefecture decreased from the 1994 pre-disaster level, both immediately after the Great Hanshin Earthquake (January-March 1995) and 2 years after the disaster. This finding remained once possible confounding factors were taken into consideration.
More attention should be placed on drinking in the cultural context where a disaster occurs. It may sometimes deter, rather than encourage, drinking among the affected population.
评估因阪神大地震导致的酒精消费量变化，以检验自然灾害后酒精消费量会增加这一假设。
比较了兵库县三个地区（重灾区、中度受灾地区和未受灾地区）在阪神大地震前、震后即刻以及震后三个时期的季度酒精销售数据。评估了人口流动、零售网点受损以及销售的正常波动可能造成的混杂影响。
在阪神大地震后即刻（1995年1月至3月）以及震后两年，重灾区和全县的酒精饮料消费量均低于1994年的灾前水平。在考虑了可能的混杂因素后，这一结果依然成立。
应更多地关注灾害发生地的饮酒文化背景。它有时可能会抑制而非鼓励受灾人群饮酒。
