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多重比较:理念与示例

Multiple comparisons: philosophies and illustrations.

作者信息

Curran-Everett D

机构信息

Departments of Preventive Medicine and Biometrics and of Physiology and Biophysics, School of Medicine, University of Colorado Health Sciences Center, Denver, Colorado 80262, USA.

出版信息

Am J Physiol Regul Integr Comp Physiol. 2000 Jul;279(1):R1-8. doi: 10.1152/ajpregu.2000.279.1.R1.

Abstract

Statistical procedures underpin the process of scientific discovery. As researchers, one way we use these procedures is to test the validity of a null hypothesis. Often, we test the validity of more than one null hypothesis. If we fail to use an appropriate procedure to account for this multiplicity, then we are more likely to reach a wrong scientific conclusion-we are more likely to make a mistake. In physiology, experiments that involve multiple comparisons are common: of the original articles published in 1997 by the American Physiological Society, approximately 40% cite a multiple comparison procedure. In this review, I demonstrate the statistical issue embedded in multiple comparisons, and I summarize the philosophies of handling this issue. I also illustrate the three procedures-Newman-Keuls, Bonferroni, least significant difference-cited most often in my literature review; each of these procedures is of limited practical value. Last, I demonstrate the false discovery rate procedure, a promising development in multiple comparisons. The false discovery rate procedure may be the best practical solution to the problems of multiple comparisons that exist within physiology and other scientific disciplines.

摘要

统计程序是科学发现过程的基础。作为研究人员,我们使用这些程序的一种方式是检验零假设的有效性。通常,我们会检验多个零假设的有效性。如果我们未能使用适当的程序来处理这种多重性,那么我们更有可能得出错误的科学结论——我们更有可能犯错。在生理学中,涉及多重比较的实验很常见:1997年美国生理学会发表的原始文章中,约40%引用了多重比较程序。在这篇综述中,我阐述了多重比较中存在的统计问题,并总结了处理该问题的理念。我还举例说明了文献综述中引用最多的三种程序——纽曼-基尔斯检验、邦费罗尼校正、最小显著差异法;这些程序的实际价值都有限。最后,我介绍了错误发现率程序,这是多重比较中一个很有前景的进展。错误发现率程序可能是解决生理学和其他科学学科中存在的多重比较问题的最佳实际解决方案。

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