Pipberger H V, McCaughan D, Littmann D, Pipberger H A, Cornfield J, Dunn R A, Batchlor C D, Berson A S
Am J Cardiol. 1975 May;35(5):597-608. doi: 10.1016/0002-9149(75)90044-2.
An electrocardiographic computer program based on multivariate analysis of orthogonal leads (Frank) was applied to records transmitted daily by telephone from the Veterans Administration Hospital, West Roxbury, Mass., to the Veterans Administration Hospital, Washington, D. C. A Bayesian classification procedure was used to compute probabilities for all diagnostic categories that might be encountered in a given record. Computer results were compared with interpretations of conventional 12 lead tracings. Of 1,663 records transmitted, 1,192 were selected for the study because the clinical diagnosis in these cases could be firmly established on the basis of independent, nonelectrocardiographic information. Twenty-one percent of the records were obtained from patients without evidence of cardiac disease and 79 percent from patients with various cardiovascular illnesses. Diagnostic electrocardiographic classifications were considered correct when in agreement with documented clinical diagnoses. Of the total sample of 1,192 recordings, 86 percent were classified correctly by computer as compared with 68 percent by conventional 12 lead electrocardiographic analysis. Improvement in diagnostic recognition by computer was most striking in patients with hypertensive cardiovascular disease or chronic obstructive lung disease. The multivariate classification scheme functioned most efficiently when a problem-oriented approach to diagnosis was simulated. This was accomplished by a simple method of adjusting prior probabilities according to the diagnostic problem under consideration.
一种基于正交导联(弗兰克导联)多变量分析的心电图计算机程序被应用于从马萨诸塞州韦斯特罗克斯伯里退伍军人管理局医院通过电话每日传输至华盛顿特区退伍军人管理局医院的记录。采用贝叶斯分类程序来计算给定记录中可能遇到的所有诊断类别的概率。将计算机结果与传统12导联心电图的解读进行比较。在传输的1663份记录中,1192份被选入该研究,因为这些病例的临床诊断可以基于独立的非心电图信息得以确切确立。21%的记录来自无心脏病证据的患者,79%来自患有各种心血管疾病的患者。当与记录在案的临床诊断一致时,诊断性心电图分类被视为正确。在1192份记录的总样本中,计算机正确分类的占86%,而传统12导联心电图分析正确分类的占68%。计算机在诊断识别方面的改善在患有高血压性心血管疾病或慢性阻塞性肺疾病的患者中最为显著。当模拟以问题为导向的诊断方法时,多变量分类方案运行效率最高。这是通过一种根据所考虑的诊断问题调整先验概率的简单方法来实现的。