Ketcham A S, Sindelar W F
Prog Clin Cancer. 1975;6:99-114.
Various factors have been found to be predictors of the relative risk of breast cancer (Table 2). Epidemiologic variables influencing breast cancer risk include age, marital status, geographic location, racial or ethnic extraction, and socioeconomic status. The risk of developing mammary carcinoma is increased with advancing age, among unmarried women, in the United States and Europe, and among women of higher socioeconomic classes. Conversely, a decreased breast cancer risk is observed among fertile married women in Asian countries, among Oriental women, and in lower socioeconomic classes. Reproductive history plays an important role in determining breast cancer risk. The risk of developing mammary carcinoma is increased by an early menarche and decreased by delayed first menses. A late natural menopause increases breast cancer risk while an early oophorectomy offers protection. Hormonal factors are thought to play important roles in the etiology of breast cancer, but the contributions of estrogenic and androgenic influences to mammary neoplasia have not been delineated. Certain estrogen fractions have been implicated as mammary carcinogens, while certain adrenal androgenic steroids have been shown to be promotors of breast cancers. Chronic cystic mastitis is associated with an increased breast cancer risk. A positive family history increases the risk of developing mammary carcinoma and a past history of breast cancer markedly increases the possibility of subsequent breast neoplasia.
已发现多种因素可作为乳腺癌相对风险的预测指标(表2)。影响乳腺癌风险的流行病学变量包括年龄、婚姻状况、地理位置、种族或族裔血统以及社会经济地位。在美国和欧洲,未婚女性以及社会经济阶层较高的女性中,患乳腺癌的风险会随着年龄的增长而增加。相反,在亚洲国家的育龄已婚女性、东方女性以及社会经济阶层较低的女性中,观察到乳腺癌风险降低。生殖史在确定乳腺癌风险方面起着重要作用。月经初潮早会增加患乳腺癌的风险,而初潮延迟则会降低风险。自然绝经晚增加乳腺癌风险,而早期卵巢切除术则有预防作用。激素因素被认为在乳腺癌病因中起重要作用,但雌激素和雄激素对乳腺肿瘤形成的作用尚未明确。某些雌激素部分被认为是乳腺致癌物,而某些肾上腺雄激素类固醇已被证明是乳腺癌的促进剂。慢性囊性乳腺炎与乳腺癌风险增加有关。家族史阳性会增加患乳腺癌的风险,而既往乳腺癌病史会显著增加后续乳腺肿瘤形成的可能性。