Talamini R, La Vecchia C, Franceschi S, Colombo F, Decarli A, Grattoni E, Grigoletto E, Tognoni G
Int J Epidemiol. 1985 Mar;14(1):70-4. doi: 10.1093/ije/14.1.70.
Between January 1980 and March 1983, data were collected to evaluate risk factors for breast cancer in a case-control study based on 368 women with breast cancer admitted to the General Hospital of Pordenone (a district in North Eastern Italy with a particularly high breast cancer mortality rate), and 373 age-matched controls. Nulliparity or low parity, late age at first birth and later menopause were associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. The elevated risk associated with nulliparity could be almost completely explained by marital status, thus pointing to a specific protection given by parity, rather than some putative influence of infertility or subfertility in breast cancer cases. Likewise, risk did not vary materially according to history of abortions when marital status was controlled for. Increased risk associated with later age at first birth, on the other hand, was not accounted for by marital status or parity. The population studied, though frequently multiparous, showed late average at first birth: this might, at least partly, explain its high mortality rate from breast cancer. The risk estimate was higher if menarche occurred below age 15; however, there was no evidence of a trend for the relative risk to rise with lower age at menarche. The use of oral contraceptives or other female hormones (such as oestrogen replacement therapy) did not appear to be related to the risk of breast cancer. The role of the major menstrual and reproductive variables considered (age at menarche, parity, age at first birth) was apparently stronger in pre-menopausal women, thus suggesting an influence of these factors (and possibly, their hormonal correlates) on one of the latter stages of the process of carcinogenesis.
1980年1月至1983年3月期间,在一项病例对照研究中收集了数据,以评估乳腺癌的风险因素。该研究基于368例入住波代诺内综合医院(意大利东北部一个乳腺癌死亡率特别高的地区)的乳腺癌女性患者以及373名年龄匹配的对照者。未生育或低生育、初产年龄晚和绝经晚与乳腺癌风险增加相关。未生育相关的风险升高几乎可以完全由婚姻状况来解释,因此表明生育带来的特定保护作用,而非乳腺癌病例中不孕或生育力低下的某些假定影响。同样,在控制婚姻状况后,流产史对风险没有实质性影响。另一方面,初产年龄晚相关的风险增加不能由婚姻状况或生育情况来解释。所研究的人群虽然经常生育,但初产平均年龄较晚:这可能至少部分解释了其乳腺癌高死亡率。如果月经初潮发生在15岁以下,风险估计会更高;然而,没有证据表明相对风险会随着月经初潮年龄降低而呈上升趋势。口服避孕药或其他女性激素(如雌激素替代疗法)的使用似乎与乳腺癌风险无关。所考虑的主要月经和生殖变量(月经初潮年龄、生育情况、初产年龄)在绝经前女性中的作用显然更强,因此表明这些因素(以及可能与之相关的激素)对致癌过程后期阶段之一有影响。