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宏观社会影响:价格和烟草控制政策对烟草产品需求的影响。

Macro-social influences: the effects of prices and tobacco-control policies on the demand for tobacco products.

作者信息

Chaloupka F J

机构信息

Department of Economics, University of Illinois at Chicago 60607-7121, USA.

出版信息

Nicotine Tob Res. 1999;1 Suppl 1:S105-9. doi: 10.1080/14622299050011681.

Abstract

For almost three decades, numerous econometric studies have researched the impact of prices and tobacco-control policies on cigarette smoking and other tobacco use. This paper reviews some of the difficulties inherent in that research, including the problems associated with available data, and methodological problems that arise in estimation. This is followed by a brief summary of the key findings from econometric studies of tobacco use. Particularly important for policymakers is the consistent evidence that emerges from these studies showing the effects of higher prices for cigarettes and other tobacco products, with growing evidence that youth and young adults are relatively more responsive to price than older adults. Similarly, these studies produce consistent evidence that stronger restrictions on smoking lead to reduced smoking. In addition, the mixed evidence on the impact of other tobacco control policies and advertising on demand is reviewed. The paper concludes with a discussion of areas where transdisciplinary collaborations and research could be particularly useful in improving our understanding of the impact of macro-social influences on tobacco use.

摘要

近三十年来,众多计量经济学研究探讨了价格和烟草控制政策对吸烟及其他烟草使用的影响。本文回顾了该研究中固有的一些困难,包括与现有数据相关的问题以及估计中出现的方法问题。接下来简要总结烟草使用计量经济学研究的主要发现。对政策制定者而言尤为重要的是,这些研究一致表明香烟和其他烟草产品价格上涨会产生影响,而且越来越多的证据显示,年轻人相较于年长者对价格更为敏感。同样,这些研究一致证明,对吸烟的更强限制会导致吸烟减少。此外,还回顾了关于其他烟草控制政策和广告对需求影响的混合证据。本文最后讨论了跨学科合作与研究在哪些领域可能对增进我们对宏观社会影响烟草使用的理解特别有用。

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