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泰国 2006-2017 年控烟政策与急性心肌梗死住院人数的关系:时间序列分析。

Association between tobacco control policies and hospital admissions for acute myocardial infarction in Thailand, 2006-2017: A time series analysis.

机构信息

Center for Tobacco Control Research and Education, Department of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United State of America.

Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2020 Dec 2;15(12):e0242570. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242570. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Studies in many countries have documented reductions of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) hospitalizations with smokefree policies. However, evidence on the association of cigarette tax with AMI events is unclear. There have been no studies of the associations between these two policies and AMI hospitalizations in Thailand.

METHODS

We used negative binomial time series analyses of AMI hospitalizations (ICD-10 codes I21.0-I21.9), stratified by sex and age groups, from October 2006 to September 2017 to determine whether there was a change in AMI hospitalizations as a result of the changes in cigarette prices and the implementation of a 100% smokefree law.

RESULTS

Cigarette price increases were associated with a significant 4.7% drop in AMI hospitalizations among adults younger than 45 (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 0.953; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.914-0.993; p = 0.021). Implementation of the 100% smokefree law was followed by a significant 13.1% drop in AMI hospitalizations among adults younger than 45 (IRR, 0.869; 95% CI, 0.801-0.993; P = 0.001). There were not significant associations in older age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The Thai cigarette tax policy and the smokefree law were associated with reduced AMI hospitalizations among younger adults. To improve effectiveness of the policies, taxes should be high enough to increase cigarette price above inflation rates, making cigarettes less likely to be purchased; smokefree laws should be strictly enforced.

摘要

简介

许多国家的研究都记录了无烟政策可降低急性心肌梗死(AMI)住院率。然而,关于香烟税与 AMI 事件之间的关联证据尚不清楚。泰国尚未有研究评估这两项政策与 AMI 住院率之间的关系。

方法

我们使用 2006 年 10 月至 2017 年 9 月 AMI 住院(ICD-10 编码 I21.0-I21.9)的负二项式时间序列分析,按性别和年龄组分层,以确定香烟价格变化和实施 100%无烟法是否会导致 AMI 住院率发生变化。

结果

香烟价格上涨与 45 岁以下成年人的 AMI 住院率显著下降 4.7%(发病率比 [IRR],0.953;95%置信区间 [CI],0.914-0.993;p=0.021)有关。实施 100%无烟法后,45 岁以下成年人的 AMI 住院率显著下降 13.1%(IRR,0.869;95%CI,0.801-0.993;P=0.001)。在年龄较大的人群中没有显著的关联。

结论

泰国的香烟税收政策和无烟法律与年轻成年人的 AMI 住院率下降有关。为了提高政策的有效性,应征收足够高的税收以使香烟价格高于通胀率,从而减少香烟购买量;应严格执行无烟法律。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f534/7710088/8b7b859e4e8a/pone.0242570.g001.jpg

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