Hasson F, Keeney S, McKenna H
Centre for Nursing Research, University of Ulster, Newtownabbey, Northern Ireland.
J Adv Nurs. 2000 Oct;32(4):1008-15.
Consensus methods such as the Delphi survey technique are being employed to help enhance effective decision-making in health and social care. The Delphi survey is a group facilitation technique, which is an iterative multistage process, designed to transform opinion into group consensus. It is a flexible approach, that is used commonly within the health and social sciences, yet little guidance exists to help researchers undertake this method of data collection. This paper aims to provide an understanding of the preparation, action steps and difficulties that are inherent within the Delphi. Used systematically and rigorously, the Delphi can contribute significantly to broadening knowledge within the nursing profession. However, careful thought must be given before using the method; there are key issues surrounding problem identification, researcher skills and data presentation that must be addressed. The paper does not claim to be definitive; it purports to act as a guide for those researchers who wish to exploit the Delphi methodology.
诸如德尔菲调查技术之类的共识方法正被用于帮助加强健康和社会护理领域的有效决策。德尔菲调查是一种群体促进技术,是一个迭代的多阶段过程,旨在将意见转化为群体共识。它是一种灵活的方法,在健康和社会科学中普遍使用,但几乎没有指导意见来帮助研究人员采用这种数据收集方法。本文旨在让人们了解德尔菲法内在的准备工作、行动步骤和困难。系统而严格地使用德尔菲法可以为拓宽护理专业知识做出重大贡献。然而,在使用该方法之前必须仔细考虑;围绕问题识别、研究人员技能和数据呈现存在一些关键问题必须加以解决。本文并不声称具有权威性;它旨在为那些希望运用德尔菲法的研究人员提供指导。