[Prognostic markers of progression to AIDS in infants vertically infected by human immunodeficiency virus type-1].

BACKGROUND

To study the prognostic AIDS progression value of the percentage of CD4+, CD8+, and plasma viral load (VL) (copies/ml) in HIV-1-vertically infected children.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

We study a cohort of 115 HIV-1 infected children older than 12 months of age. The VL was quantified using standard molecular assay. CD4 and CD8 T lymphocytes were determined by flow cytometry.

RESULTS

The children with a median of VL > 4.5 log10 (p < 0.001) and percentage of CD8+ < 25% (p = 0.05) during follow-up, progressed faster to AIDS than children with a median of VL < 4.5 log10 and CD8 > 25%. The relative risk (RR) of AIDS progression was 7-fold higher in children with median VL above 4.5 log10. When considering VL as a continuous variable, risk of progression to AIDS is 3.5-fold higher for each increase of one log10 of VL. The percentage of CD8+ T-cells had a RR of AIDS progression of 0.95/% CD8+ at entry to the study and of 0. 19/% CD8+ during follow-up, indicating protection against progression to AIDS.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that each basal values at entry in the study and during the follow-up of the percentage of CD8+ and VL helps to determine the risk of AIDS progression in HIV-1-infected children. More interestingly, the use of the two predictive markers together had higher predictive value.